Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/04/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Venue:  Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +4, Knicks -4; Over/Under:  232.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +4, Knicks -4; Over/Under:  232.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +4, Knicks -4; Over/Under:  232.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  32-28 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

New York Knicks:  40-20 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  7-3 last 10

New York Knicks:  7-3 last 10

The Warriors are entering this game with a 32-28 record overall this season and they are 15-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Philadelphia 76ers, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Charlotte Hornets still to be played on Monday night. In their game against the 76ers, Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 29 while Quinten Post was next on the team with 16 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Quinten Post led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 46% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 78.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.4 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 31-28-1 this season and their O/U record is 31-29.

The Knicks are entering this game with a 40-20 record overall this season and they are 21-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Memphis Grizzlies, and the Miami Heat. Jalen Brunson led the team in points in that game with 31 while OG Anunoby was next on the team with 23 points. Mikal Bridges led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 48.4% from the field, 31.8% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.9 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 28-31-1 this season and their O/U record is 34-25-1.

The current betting odds have the Knicks listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Knicks have looked really good in their games this season with their 40-20 record overall which has them right near the top of the East. They have looked good on their home court too with their 21-10 home record. Meanwhile, the Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 32-28 record overall which has them in the top half of the West, but that record also has them in the first play-in spot and right outside of a true playoff spot. They haven't been a great road team with their 15-15 road record, but they have looked a lot better in their games lately. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have been climbing the standings in the West with the help of a trade they made for Jimmy Butler, but they aren't in a great situation here. They are coming off a loss to the 76ers in their last one and they are also playing this game on a back-to-back so they aren't going to be at their best. The Knicks have been hot lately too as they are also 7-3 in their last 10 games, and they have some momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row now. They won 2 tough road games in their last 2, but now they get to come back home where they have been better this season and they have the rest advantage of their side too. As good as the Warriors have been lately, the Knicks have the talent to beat them at home in this situation. The best way to place a bet here is on the Knicks to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Knicks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 4, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Knicks 118 Warriors 112.

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Golden State Warriors: 24-13 ATS as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 38-27 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days. 34-27 OVER as a road underdog. 34-26 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 

New York Knicks: 12-20 ATS at home off a road win. 51-35 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 28-21 OVER after a win by 6 points or less. 23-17 OVER at home in non-conference games.

Golden State Warriors:  Q. Post (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. J. Butler (SF) Day To Day - Back. J. Kuminga (PF) Out - Ankle.

New York Knicks:  A. Hukporti (C) Out - Knee.

“You are gonna ask that again? We’re doing this? Every time, you ask? We would like to make the playoffs. The playoffs. You’re talking about the Finals? We just want to make the playoffs. Let’s not talk about the Finals.” - Steve Kerr on his team making the Finals. 

“Heavy price to pay for winning.” - Tom Thibodeau on his team’s defense after their win against the Heat in their game on Sunday.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Brandin Podziemski

SF Jimmy Butler

PF Moses Moody

C Draymond Green 

PG Jalen Brunson

SG Mikal Bridges

SF Josh Hart

PF OG Anunoby

C Karl-Anthony Towns

PPG: S. Curry (24.1)

APG: S. Curry (6.2)

Reb/G: K. Looney (6.7)

PPG: J. Brunson (26.1)

APG: J. Brunson (7.4)

Reb/G: K. Towns (13.4)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)

New York Knicks: Tom Thibodeau (5th season)