Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/14/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Wednesday, May 14, 2025

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +11.5, Timberwolves -11.5; Over/Under:  203.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +11.5, Timberwolves -11.5; Over/Under:  204 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +11.5, Timberwolves -11.5; Over/Under:  203.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  48-34 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  4-6 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  8-2 last 10

The Warriors are entering the playoffs with a 48-34 record overall this season and they were 24-17 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves 3 times in a row. Jonathan Kuminga led the team in points in that game with 23 while Jimmy Butler and Draymond Green each were next on the team with 14 points. Jimmy Butler and Moses Moody each led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 43.5% from the field, 29.6% from 3-point range, and 84.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.5 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 46-45-3 this season and their O/U record is 47-47.

The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 25-16 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Golden State Warriors 3 times in a row. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 31 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 30 points. Anthony Edwards and Mike Conley Jr. each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Jaden McDaniels led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 49.4% from the field, 47.1% from 3-point range, and 88.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 45-45-1 this season and their O/U record is 48-43.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as an 11.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 6th seeded Timberwolves and the 7th seeded Warriors from the Western Conference for the 2nd round of the NBA playoffs. The Timberwolves are leading this series 3-1 after winning game 4 on the road. The Timberwolves took a 3-1 series lead with a 117-110 win over the Warriors in the 4th game of this series and they have really taken advantage of an injured Warriors team. The Warriors stole the 1st game of this series on the road with a 99-88 win, but they also lost Steph Curry to an injury in that game and it has all been downhill from there. The Warriors have now lost 3 games in a row without Curry in the lineup for them and have completely blown the strong start to this series that they got out to. The Timberwolves have flipped the home advantage back in their favor now and they are going to bring their best effort to try and end this series at home in this game, especially since the Warriors could still be without Curry in that game so now is the time for them to strike with the dagger. The Timberwolves did struggle a bit more in the last 2 games on the road, but they crushed the Warriors at home in game 2 and this game will be a lot like that 2nd game in the series with all of the momentum the Timberwolves have on their side now. The Warriors just don't have the talent without Curry to compete with this Timberwolves team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, May 14, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 118 Warriors 99.

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Golden State Warriors: 32-24 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 27-19 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 13-4 ATS on the road off a home loss. 6-3 OVER as an underdog of 10 or more points.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 16-24 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. 14-22 ATS at home off a road win. 3-8 1H ATS in the second round of the playoffs. 15-6 OVER when the total is 200 to 209.5.

Golden State Warriors:  S. Curry (PG) Out - Hamstring.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  None.

“We’re not going to Superman this thing. If he’s in a place where he can play, I’m sure he will.” - Draymond Green on being without Steph Curry after their loss against the Timberwolves in game 4 of this series on Monday.

“It was huge because it felt like one of those games where we were going to struggle to find a rhythm. I thought we might be down eight, 10 at halftime with the way that we had played. Fortunately, I thought his shot made it pretty much an even game and if we came out with the type of purpose that we needed to I felt we were going to be OK.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Warriors in game 4 of this series on Monday.

PG Brandin Podziemski

SG Moses Moody

SF Buddy Hield

PF Jimmy Butler

C Draymond Green

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: S. Curry (24.5)

APG: S. Curry (6)

Reb/G: K. Looney (6.1)

PPG: A. Edwards (27.6)

APG: J. Randle (4.7)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.9)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)