Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/30/2025

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Oct 29, 2025
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, October 30, 2025
Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Where to Watch:  NBA TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors -1.5, Bucks +1.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors -1.5, Bucks +1.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors -1.5, Bucks +1.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Season Record

Golden State Warriors:  4-1 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Milwaukee Bucks:  3-1 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Golden State Warriors:  4-1 last 5
Milwaukee Bucks:  3-1 last 4


Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview and Analysis


The Warriors are entering this game with a 4-1 record overall this season and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Memphis Grizzlies and the Los Angeles Clippers. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 21 while Stephen Curry was next on the team with 19 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Quinten Post led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 45.3% from the field, 37.8% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.2 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 4-1 this season and their O/U record is 4-1.



The Bucks are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall this season and they are 2-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the New York Knicks. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 37 while Ryan Rollins was next on the team with 25 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Giannis Antetokounmpo and Myles Turner each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 54.4% from the field, 41.2% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.3 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 4-0 this season and their O/U record is 3-1.


Warriors vs Bucks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors have looked great in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They have a 1-1 record in their road games, but they have been rolling over teams with a hot start to the season and they look like they could once again be one of the best teams in the NBA this year. Meanwhile, the Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall which has them right near the top of the East. They have also looked good on their home court so far with their 2-0 home record this season. They are off a win over the Knicks in their last one, but the Bucks are also banged up with a missing starter. They don't have a ton of depth this year either and that is going to be a big issue against a team like the Warriors. The Warriors have a lot more talent in their starting rotation right now and they have more talent on the bench too. That was a nice win for the Bucks at home against the Knicks, but this is a good situation for them to drop their first home game of the year against a superior Warriors team that is off to a really hot start this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, October 30, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 115 Bucks 107.
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NBA Betting Trends


Golden State Warriors: 8-4 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 32-23 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 5-1 UNDER off a home win against a division rival. 4-1 UNDER off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog.

Milwaukee Bucks: 3-7 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. 4-8 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 12-19 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 9-3 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%).

Key Injuries


Golden State Warriors:  A. Toohey (PF) Day To Day - Knee. D. Melton (PG) Out - Knee.

Milwaukee Bucks:  K. Porter Jr. (SG) Out - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“The No. 1 thing we’ve been trying to hammer home is that our offense can help our defense. And I thought that happened tonight. And it’s not just turnovers, but It’s playing a connected style of basketball.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the LA Clippers in their game on Tuesday.


“We're not going to rush him because we don't want this to become chronic. It was a bad turn, so we just want to be patient.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s win against the Knicks in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Brandin Podziemski
SF Jimmy Butler III
PF Jonathan Kuminga
C Draymond Green

Milwaukee Bucks
PG Ryan Rollins
SG AJ Green
SF Gary Trent Jr.
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Myles Turner

Statistical Leaders


Golden State Warriors
PPG: Stephen Curry (27)
APG: Draymond Green (7.2)
Reb/G: Jonathan Kuminga (7.4)

Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: Giannis Antetokounmpo (36.3)
APG: Giannis Antetokounmpo (7)
Reb/G: Giannis Antetokounmpo (14)

Coaches:
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (12th season)
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (3rd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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