Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/26/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, March 26, 2024

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  BSSUN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors -2, Heat +2; Over/Under:  219.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors -2, Heat +2; Over/Under:  219.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors -2, Heat +2; Over/Under:  219.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  36-34 (5th place, Pacific Division)

Miami Heat:  39-32 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  4-6 last 10

Miami Heat:  4-6 last 10

The Warriors are entering this game with a 36-34 record overall and they are 18-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Indiana Pacers and the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 31 while Klay Thompson was next on the team with 16 points. Gary Payton II led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Draymond Green and Gary Payton II each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 44.7% from the field, 38.9% from 3-point range, and 76.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.8 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 37-32-1 this season and their O/U record is 36-34.

The Heat are entering this game with a 39-32 record overall and they are 18-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game. Haywood Highsmith led the team in points in that game with 18 while Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo each were next on the team with 15 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 51.8% from the field, 39.5% from 3-point range, and 87% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.9 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 34-36-1 this season and their O/U record is 26-45.

The current betting odds have the Heat listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 39-32 record overall which has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East right now. They are right on the cusp of a true playoff spot in the East and have been trying to climb the standings to secure a true playoff spot. They haven't been the best on their home court but they haven't been a bad team either with their 18-16 home record. Meanwhile, the Warriors have looked decent in their games this season with their 36-34 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. They haven't looked great in their games lately either so they have been struggling to improve their record more above .500, leaving them in the final play-in spot right now but also on the cusp of dropping out with the Rockets right on their tail. The Warriors are only 4-6 in their last 10 games and they have no momentum on their side with 2 losses in a row now. The Heat are also 4-6 in their last 10 games but they will have some momentum from a big win over the Cavs in their last one and they have the home advantage here to help them edge the Warriors out too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Heat to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 26, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Heat 106 Warriors 96.

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Golden State Warriors: 11-3 ATS as a road favorite. 28-16 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. 11-3 UNDER as a road favorite. 7-2 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 7-3 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more.

Miami Heat: 1-7 ATS as a home underdog. 0-6 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less. 1-5 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games. 16-7 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 8-1 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 25-8 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread.

Golden State Warriors:  None.

Miami Heat:  D. Robinson (SF) Ques Tues - Back. J. Jaquez Jr. (SG) Ques Tues - Knee. K. Love (PF) Early April - Heel. T. Herro (SG) Early April - Knee. J. Richardson (SG) out for season - Shoulder.

“The habits were much improved tonight — the defensive focus, the effort, the energy. I’m confident that if we compete and play like that these last 12 games that we’re going to put ourselves in position.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in their game on Sunday.

“This group really cares. Even after a night like the other night ... when it’s a really lopsided loss and you can erroneously say, ‘that’s a listless team,’ it’s not. This is a team that cares deeply.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Cavaliers in their game on Sunday.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Brandin Podziemski

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Jonathan Kuminga

C Draymond Green

PG Terry Rozier

SG Patty Mills

SF Jimmy Butler

PF Nikola Jovic

C Bam Adebayo

PPG: S. Curry (26.8)

APG: C. Paul (7)

Reb/G: D. Green (7.3)

PPG: J. Butler (21.4)

APG: T. Rozier (5.9)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.7)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (10th season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)