Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/12/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, May 11, 2023
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, May 12, 2023
Venue:  Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3, Lakers -3; Over/Under:  223 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3, Lakers -3; Over/Under:  223 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +2.5, Lakers -2.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Season Record

Golden State Warriors:  44-38 (4th place, Pacific Division)
Los Angeles Lakers:  43-39 (5th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Lakers:  6-4 last 10


Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview and Analysis


The Warriors finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 11-30 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the LA Lakers in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 27 while Andrew Wiggins was next on the team with 25 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Draymond Green led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 51.1% from the field, 37.1% from 3-point range, and 93.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 44-49-1 this season and their O/U record is 50-41-3.



The Lakers finished the regular season with a 43-39 record overall and they were 23-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Golden State Warriors in their last game. LeBron James led the team in points in that game with 25 while Anthony Davis was next on the team with 23 points. Austin Reaves led the team in assists in that game with 5 while LeBron James and Anthony Davis each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 48.3% from the field, 37% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.6 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 47-46-1 this season and their O/U record is 49-45.


Warriors vs Lakers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7-game series between the 6th seeded Warriors and the 7th seeded Lakers for the 2nd round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. The Lakers are entering this game with a 3-2 series lead after losing another road game in game 5. The Warriors haven't been a good road team all year but they have been a lot better in road games in these playoffs and they are still the defending champions so they are going to fight hard in this game to tie up the series here. Anthony Davis is now dealing with a head injury as well so the Warriors could catch a break in this game against a weakened Lakers team and will use the opportunity to tie up the series. The Warriors have some momentum behind them now and they can be a really dangerous team when they start to get rolling. The Lakers will try to end the series on their home court here but the Warriors have the momentum now and along with the injury to Davis, things are starting to turn around for the Warriors in this series. The Warriors will dig in deep in this game and use their championship pedigree to tie up this series with a strong road performance. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game and even up the series 3-3.

Warriors Lakers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, May 12, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 122 Lakers 117.
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NBA Betting Trends


Golden State Warriors: 7-17 ATS as a road underdog. 6-11 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more. 29-15 OVER in road games. 18-9 OVER after a win by 10 points or more. 

Los Angeles Lakers: 21-12 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. 20-12 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 27-19 OVER revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points. 11-7 OVER off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival.

Key Injuries


Golden State Warriors:  P. Baldwin Jr. (SF) Ques Fri - Toe. A. Iguodala (SG) Mid May - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot.

Los Angeles Lakers:  A. Davis (PF) Ques Fri - Head. M. Bamba (C) Ques Fri - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“We're champions, so there's pressure every time you step on the floor. You go out there, you don't win people are ready to crush you. People forget about the things that you've done in the past.” - Draymond Green after their win against the Lakers in their game on Wednesday, game 5 of this series.


“Obviously, everyone saw he took a shot to the head, but we just checked in on him, he seems to be doing really good already. That’s just where he’s at. That’s the status of it right now.” - Darvin Ham on Anthony Davis after his team’s loss against the Warriors in their game on Wednesday, game 5 of this series.


Starting Lineups


Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Klay Thompson
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Draymond Green
C Kevon Looney

Los Angeles Lakers
PG D'Angelo Russell
SG Austin Reaves
SF LeBron James
PF Jarred Vanderbilt
C Anthony Davis

Statistical Leaders


Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (29.4)
APG: D. Green (6.8)
Reb/G: K. Looney (9.3)

Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: L. James (28.9)
APG: L. James (6.8)
Reb/G: A. Davis (12.5)

Coaches:
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)
Los Angeles Lakers: Darvin Ham (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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