Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/08/2023

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Monday, May 8, 2023

Venue:  Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA

Where to Watch:  TNT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3.5, Lakers -3.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3.5, Lakers -3.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3.5, Lakers -3.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  44-38 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Los Angeles Lakers:  43-39 (5th place, Pacific Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  5-5 last 10

Los Angeles Lakers:  7-3 last 10

The Warriors finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 11-30 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the LA Lakers in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 23 while Andrew Wiggins was next on the team with 16 points. Jordan Poole led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Andrew Wiggins led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 39.6% from the field, 29.5% from 3-point range, and 70.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 43-48-1 this season and their O/U record is 49-40-3.

The Lakers finished the regular season with a 43-39 record overall and they were 23-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Golden State Warriors in their last game. Anthony Davis led the team in points in that game with 25 while LeBron James and D'Angelo Russell each were next on the team with 21 points. LeBron James led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Anthony Davis led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 52.5% from the field, 48.4% from 3-point range, and 75.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.6 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 46-45-1 this season and their O/U record is 48-44.

The current betting odds have the Lakers listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7-game series between the 6th seeded Warriors and the 7th seeded Lakers for the 2nd round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. The Lakers are entering this game with a 2-1 series lead and they responded in a big way after losing by 27 points in game 2 as they beat the Warriors in game 3 by 30 points on their own home court. The Lakers were a lot better in that game and they showed that they are going to be too much for the Warriors to handle when they are at their best. The Warriors have already struggled with the Lakers all season as this is a bad matchup for them and they were terrible in their road games this year too. The Warriors will be pushing hard in this game to try and even up the series going back home but the Lakers are just too good for them with how they have been rolling lately and they will not let go of their home advantage now that they have it. The Lakers will step up again in this game and ensure they put the clamp down on the Warriors taking a 3-1 series lead going back to Golden State and putting the pressure on the Warriors to try and come back. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lakers to cover the spread in this game.

Warriors Lakers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, May 8, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Lakers 122 Warriors 106.

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Golden State Warriors: 3-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 14-31 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. 17-4 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 29-14 OVER in road games. 

Los Angeles Lakers: 27-15 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders 10-3 ATS after allowing 105 points or less. 33-19 OVER off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival. 9-5 OVER after allowing 105 points or less.

Golden State Warriors:  A. Iguodala (SG) Mid May - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot.

Los Angeles Lakers:  M. Bamba (C) Ques Mon - Ankle.

“You can’t get distracted by stuff you can’t control. As much as it’s frustrating, it’s the test that every team has to go through throughout the series, blocking out that stuff as much as we can. We obviously know who we are and what we’re capable of, all the things we always say after a loss.” - Steph Curry after their loss against the Lakers in their game on Saturday, game 3 of this series.

“We’re one of the best defensive teams in the league, if not the best. For us to reach our potential, we have to defend at a high level. Not one team in this league tests you more in that than Golden State, so we have to be alert for a test on every single possession.” - LeBron James after their win against the Warriors in their game on Saturday, game 3 of this series.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Klay Thompson

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Draymond Green

C Kevon Looney

PG D'Angelo Russell

SG Austin Reaves

SF LeBron James

PF Jarred Vanderbilt

C Anthony Davis

PPG: S. Curry (29.4)

APG: D. Green (6.8)

Reb/G: K. Looney (9.3)

PPG: L. James (28.9)

APG: L. James (6.8)

Reb/G: A. Davis (12.5)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)

Los Angeles Lakers: Darvin Ham (1st season)