Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/06/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, May 05, 2023
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, May 6, 2023
Venue:  Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3.5, Lakers -3.5; Over/Under:  227 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3, Lakers -3; Over/Under:  227 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3.5, Lakers -3.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points

Season Record

Golden State Warriors:  44-38 (4th place, Pacific Division)
Los Angeles Lakers:  43-39 (5th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Lakers:  7-3 last 10


Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview and Analysis


The Warriors finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 11-30 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the LA Lakers in their last game. Klay Thompson led the team in points in that game with 30 while Stephen Curry was next on the team with 20 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Draymond Green led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 50.5% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 62.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 43-47-1 this season and their O/U record is 49-39-3.



The Lakers finished the regular season with a 43-39 record overall and they were 23-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Golden State Warriors in their last game. LeBron James led the team in points in that game with 23 while Rui Hachimura was next on the team with 21 points. D'Angelo Russell led the team in assists in that game with 8 while LeBron James and Anthony Davis each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 42.6% from the field, 29.4% from 3-point range, and 58.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.6 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 45-45-1 this season and their O/U record is 48-43.


Warriors vs Lakers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Lakers listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7-game series between the 6th seeded Warriors and the 7th seeded Lakers for the 2nd round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. This series is all tied up 1-1 after the Warriors won game 2 on their home court to even it up. The Warriors looked really good in that game after losing a close game at home in game 1, they responded in a big way with a 27 point win in game 2. Now they have some momentum with them going into LA but they have still been terrible in their road games all year and the Lakers are definitely going to have a response of their own after getting blown out the way they did the other night. Expect the Lakers to respond with a much better performance on their home court as they will not take that 27 point loss lightly and this is still a team that has been really hot over the last few weeks, both in the playoffs and near the end of the season as they were picking up steam. The Lakers will come out with a strong performance on their home court and make sure they take the series lead back as they still have the home advantage flipped in their favor now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lakers to cover the spread in this game and take a 2-1 series lead.

Warriors Lakers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, May 6, 2023 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Lakers 120 Warriors 112.
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NBA Betting Trends


Golden State Warriors: 3-10 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 14-30 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. 17-3 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 29-13 OVER in road games.

Los Angeles Lakers: 25-9 ATS when tied in a playoff series. 20-12 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. 15-8 OVER after 2 or more consecutive overs. 27-18 OVER revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points.

Key Injuries


Golden State Warriors:  P. Baldwin Jr. (SF) Ques Sat - Toe. A. Iguodala (SG) Mid May - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot.

Los Angeles Lakers:  M. Bamba (C) Ques Sat - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


"Klay got it going and our defense was kind of fueling our offense." - Steve Kerr on Klay Thompson after his team’s win against the LA Lakers in their game on Thursday, game 2 of this series.


"You could tell, they came out just ready to try to secure a game and again not go back to our place down 0-2." - Darvin Ham after his team’s loss against the GS Warriors in their game on Thursday, game 2 of this series.


Starting Lineups


Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Klay Thompson
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Draymond Green
C Kevon Looney

Los Angeles Lakers
PG D'Angelo Russell
SG Austin Reaves
SF LeBron James
PF Jarred Vanderbilt
C Anthony Davis

Statistical Leaders


Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (29.4)
APG: D. Green (6.8)
Reb/G: K. Looney (9.3)

Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: L. James (28.9)
APG: L. James (6.8)
Reb/G: A. Davis (12.5)

Coaches:
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)
Los Angeles Lakers: Darvin Ham (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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