Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/11/2026

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +5.5, Rockets -5.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +5.5, Rockets -5.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +5.5, Rockets -5.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  8-3 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

Houston Rockets:  8-3 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  8-2 last 10

Houston Rockets:  7-3 last 10

The Warriors are entering this game with an 8-3 record overall this season and they are 2-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on an 8 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets, the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Los Angeles Lakers, the Los Angeles Clippers, the Phoenix Suns, the Miami Heat, the Orlando Magic, and the New Orleans Pelicans. Stephen Curry and Brandin Podziemski each led the team in points in that game with 25 while Yaxel Lendeborg was next on the team with 23 points. Draymond Green and Al Horford each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Charles Bassey led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 54.9% from the field, 47.7% from 3-point range, and 89.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.2 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 8-3 this season and their O/U record is 6-5.

The Rockets are entering this game with an 8-3 record overall this season and they are 5-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Denver Nuggets. Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 23 while Alperen Şengün was next on the team with 20 points. Kevin Durant and Alperen Şengün each led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Kevin Durant led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 45.1% from the field, 36.8% from 3-point range, and 82.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.4 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 8-3 this season and their O/U record is 6-5.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked good in their games this season with their 8-3 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 5-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 8-3 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They haven't been a great road team though with their 2-2 road record this year. The Warriors had a terrible start to the season going 0-3, but they have been rolling since that bad start. They have won 8 games in a row now and they have a ton of momentum on their side. They are coming off a win over the Pelicans in their last one and they have been picking up a lot of wins against good opponents too, but a majority of their wins have also been at home where they have looked a lot better. The Rockets have also been rolling lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and they have looked like one of the best teams in the NBA this year. They have a much improved offense this season with a star player in Kevin Durant leading the way, and they still have one of the best defenses in the NBA too. They are coming off a big win over the Nuggets in their last one and they have looked a lot better on their home court this year. The Warriors have definitely looked great lately, but this is still a team that lost 3 in a row to start the season and that streak isn't going to last forever. The Rockets have the talent to win this game at home with ease with their better efforts on the defensive end being a key factor. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Rockets 106 Warriors 98.

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Golden State Warriors: 8-3 ATS in all games. 5-1 ATS after playing a home game. 6-1 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more. 5-0 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 10-3 OVER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. 

Houston Rockets: 19-31 ATS against Pacific division opponents. 16-25 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 38-27 OVER off a home win. 

Golden State Warriors:  G. Payton II (SG) Day To Day - Knee. W. Richard (SG) Day To Day - Thumb. B. Williams (PG) Day To Day - Hamstring. K. Porzingis (C) Out - Illness. M. Moody (SG) Out - Knee. J. Butler III (SF) Out - Knee.

Houston Rockets:  C. Capela (C) Day To Day - Ankle. S. Adams (C) Out - Calf.

“We have a chance to be, I think, a top 10 offense and defense. And that’s what it takes to be a great team in this league and a real contender. And that’s our goal. Our defense has been improving dramatically the last couple weeks. Offensively, we’re obviously shooting the ball really well. It’s gonna get a lot harder now on the road, so it’s a really good homestand and we got a long way to go. We just have to try to carry the momentum forward.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Pelicans in their game on Monday.

“I think a lot of times we can just run at it until they stop, and I think that’s what we did in the fourth, you know. Jokic, um, they’re not a real defensive team, so when they can like pack the paint and trap the ball and just play off of shooters and not have to make the second and third effort, they’re a good defensive team.” - Kevin Durant after their win against the Nuggets in their game on Monday. 

PG Stephen Curry

SG Brandin Podziemski

SF Yaxel Lendeborg

PF Gui Santos

C Draymond Green

PG Fred VanVleet

SG Amen Thompson

SF Kevin Durant

PF Jabari Smith Jr.

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: Stephen Curry (30.6)

APG: Draymond Green (7.6)

Reb/G: Yaxel Lendeborg (7.2)

PPG: Alperen Sengun (21.3)

APG: Alperen Sengun (7.8)

Reb/G: Alperen Sengun (9)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (13th season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (4th season)