Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/30/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, April 30, 2025

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +4, Rockets -4; Over/Under:  204.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +4, Rockets -4; Over/Under:  203.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +4.5, Rockets -4.5; Over/Under:  204.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  48-34 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

Houston Rockets:  52-30 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10

Houston Rockets:  4-6 last 10

The Warriors are entering the playoffs with a 48-34 record overall this season and they were 24-17 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Houston Rockets twice in a row. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 27 while Brandin Podziemski was next on the team with 26 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Draymond Green led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 41.9% from the field, 37% from 3-point range, and 90.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.5 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 43-41-3 this season and their O/U record is 43-44.

The Rockets are entering the playoffs with a 52-30 record overall this season and they were 29-12 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Golden State Warriors twice in a row. Alperen Şengün led the team in points in that game with 31 while Fred VanVleet was next on the team with 25 points. Fred VanVleet led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Alperen Şengün led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 49.4% from the field, 47.8% from 3-point range, and 61.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.8 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 45-40-1 this season and their O/U record is 45-39-2.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Rockets and the 7th seeded Warriors from the Western Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Warriors are leading this series 3-1 after winning game 4 at home. The Warriors took a 3-1 series lead with a 109-106 win over the Rockets in the 4th game of this series, but the Rockets looked a lot better in that one. They lost game 3 by 9 points after taking the 2nd game in this series, but they played a much closer game in game 4 and were right in it until the end. Now they are going back home facing elimination after losing 2 games in a row on the road and they are going to bring their best effort to keep their season alive. They are going to channel some of that energy from their last game at home when they beat the Warriors 109-94 in game 2 and this is going to be a desperate situation for them so look for the Rockets to leave it all on the floor in this game. The Warriors have looked really good on defense in this series, but the Rockets are still one of the best defensive teams in the NBA and they are going to show up in a big way here to keep their season alive. The Warriors did a great job to win both games at home, but now they won't have as much urgency to win this one and the Rockets can take advantage of that. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 30, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Rockets 99 Warriors 93.

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Golden State Warriors: 25-14 ATS as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 21-14 ATS on the road versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 12-6 ATS on the road in April games. 23-15 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game.

Houston Rockets: 27-50 ATS off a road loss. 34-47 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 24-33 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 25-11 UNDER at home versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 

Golden State Warriors:  None.

Houston Rockets:  J. Tate (SF) Day To Day - Ankle.

“If this were the regular season, he’d probably miss another week or two. But it’s the playoffs and he’s Jimmy Butler. This is what he does.” - Steve Kerr on Jimmy Butler after his team’s win against the Rockets in game 4 of this series on Monday.

"Guys are down, but they understand that the game we played well -- the one game out of four [Game 2] - we had a blowout win and other games, it's been a one-possession game, or we've had a fourth quarter lead and not played well. Consistency wins in this series, and we've talked about that from Day 1. We have to be more consistent across the board." - Ime Udoka after his team’s loss against the Warriors in game 4 of this series on Monday.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Brandin Podziemski

SF Buddy Hield

PF Jimmy Butler

C Draymond Green

PG Fred VanVleet

SG Jalen Green 

SF Amen Thompson

PF Dillon Brooks

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: S. Curry (24.5)

APG: S. Curry (6)

Reb/G: K. Looney (6.1)

PPG: J. Green (21)

APG: F. VanVleet (5.6)

Reb/G: A. Sengun (10.3)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (2nd season)