Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/23/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Wednesday, April 23, 2025

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +2, Rockets -2; Over/Under:  204.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3, Rockets -3; Over/Under:  205 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +2.5, Rockets -2.5; Over/Under:  204.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  48-34 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

Houston Rockets:  52-30 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  7-3 last 10

Houston Rockets:  5-5 last 10

The Warriors are entering the playoffs with a 48-34 record overall this season and they were 24-17 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Memphis Grizzlies and the Houston Rockets. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 31 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 25 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Brandin Podziemski led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 47.4% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.5 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 42-39-3 this season and their O/U record is 42-42.

The Rockets are entering the playoffs with a 52-30 record overall this season and they were 29-12 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game losing streak with losses coming against the Los Angeles Clippers, the Los Angeles Lakers, the Denver Nuggets, and the Golden State Warriors. Alperen Şengün led the team in points in that game with 26 while Dillon Brooks and Jabari Smith Jr. each were next on the team with 11 points. Fred VanVleet led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Steven Adams led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 39.1% from the field, 20.7% from 3-point range, and 55% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.8 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 43-39-1 this season and their O/U record is 44-37-2.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Rockets and the 7th seeded Warriors from the Western Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Warriors are leading the series 1-0 after game 1. The Warriors took a 1-0 series lead on the road with a 95-85 win over the Rockets in game 1. The Warriors had to go through the play-in tournament to get here, beating the Grizzlies in the 1st game, and they rolled into Houston in game 1 of this series and beat the Rockets at their own game. The Rockets have one of the best defenses in the NBA, but the Warriors played the Rockets game in their own building and completely outplayed them. The Warriors have a lot more playoff experience on their side with the Rockets being a very young and inexperienced team, but they are going to respond with a better effort in this game. The last thing they want is to go back to Golden State down 2-0 series and have to dig themselves out of a big hole on the road against players who have won the NBA Championship before. The Rockets will bring a much better effort in this game and they are going to throw everything they have at the Warriors to even up this series. The Rockets have a great defense that can shut down this Warriors team as they did hold them under 100 points in the loss, and they also have an offense that is a lot better than how they looked in game 1. The Warriors already flipped this series with that road win so they won't have as much urgency to win this game as the Rockets will. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 23, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Rockets 108 Warriors 104.

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Golden State Warriors: 25-16 ATS in road games. 9-3 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 8-2 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 93 or more shots/game. 9-3 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 10-4 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 

Houston Rockets: 6-13 ATS against Pacific division opponents. 3-6 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. 4-8 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 6-3 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3. 7-4 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses.

Golden State Warriors:  None.

Houston Rockets:  J. Landale (C) Day To Day - Knee. J. Tate (SF) Out - Ankle.

“(Curry) just made some amazing plays and obviously carried us offensively along with Jimmy.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Rockets in game 1 of this series on Sunday.

“We just didn't execute. Maybe the physicality was an issue, but I thought we matched that for the most part.” - Fred VanVleet after their loss against the Warriors in game 1 of this series on Sunday.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Brandin Podziemski

SF Moses Moody

PF Jimmy Butler

C Draymond Green

PG Fred VanVleet

SG Jalen Green 

SF Amen Thompson

PF Dillon Brooks

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: S. Curry (24.5)

APG: S. Curry (6)

Reb/G: K. Looney (6.1)

PPG: J. Green (21)

APG: F. VanVleet (5.6)

Reb/G: A. Sengun (10.3)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (2nd season)