Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/20/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Sunday, April 20, 2025

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  TNT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors -1, Rockets +1; Over/Under:  213.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +1.5, Rockets -1.5; Over/Under:  213.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +1.5, Rockets -1.5; Over/Under:  213.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  48-34 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

Houston Rockets:  52-30 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  7-3 last 10

Houston Rockets:  6-4 last 10

The Warriors are entering the playoffs with a 48-34 record overall this season and they were 24-17 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Memphis Grizzlies. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 38 while Stephen Curry was next on the team with 37 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Stephen Curry led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 45.9% from the field, 34.9% from 3-point range, and 82.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.5 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 41-39-3 this season and their O/U record is 42-41.

The Rockets are entering the playoffs with a 52-30 record overall this season and they were 29-12 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Los Angeles Clippers, the Los Angeles Lakers, and the Denver Nuggets. Amen Thompson and Fred VanVleet each led the team in points in that game with 15 while Alperen Şengün was next on the team with 14 points. Reed Sheppard led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Tari Eason led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 45% from the field, 35.3% from 3-point range, and 64.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.8 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 43-38-1 this season and their O/U record is 44-36-2.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Rockets and the 7th seeded Warriors from the Western Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Rockets have looked great in their games this season with their 52-30 record overall and they have looked great on their home court too with their 29-12 home record. Meanwhile, the Warriors have also looked good in their games this season with their 48-34 record overall and they have been a good road team too with their 24-17 road record. The Warriors didn't end the regular season on a good note as they lost to the Clippers in a game that could have kept them out of the play-in tournament, but they are coming into this series with some momentum now after beating the Grizzlies in that play-in game. They won that game by 5 points at home, but they were very volatile in that game too. They started the game down 9 right out of the gate and battled back to eventually take a 20 point lead, but that lead was gone by the 2nd half as they allowed the Grizzlies to come back into the game. The Rockets have a much better defense than the Grizzlies do and they have given the Warriors some trouble this season so that type of play is going to get the Warriors into trouble on the road here. The Rockets haven't looked good lately as they ended the regular season with 3 losses in a row, but they were also resting a lot of banged up guys in those games and that has put them in a better position here since they will be healthy and ready to go. The Rockets are going to bring their best effort here to set the tone in this series and the last thing they want is to lose the home advantage in the first game of the series against a team like the Warriors. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, April 20, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Rockets 112 Warriors 107.

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Golden State Warriors: 5-10 ATS in all playoff games. 7-13 ATS on the road after a win by 6 points or less. 15-22 ATS on the road revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 9-5 UNDER on the road versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 36-19 1H UNDER against Southwest division opponents.

Houston Rockets: 16-9 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 9-4 ATS at home after 3 or more consecutive overs. 21-13 ATS at home versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 24-16 UNDER as a home underdog of 6 points or less. 23-11 UNDER at home versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 

Golden State Warriors:  None.

Houston Rockets:  J. Tate (SF) Out - Ankle.

“It took 83 games but we’re right where we want to be, which is back in the playoffs and we've got a chance.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Grizzlies in the play-in tournament on Tuesday.

"We've got a few guys that are nicked up, and hopefully we're in a position to make some decisions about getting guys totally healthy." - Ime Udoka on his team going into the playoffs.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Brandin Podziemski

SF Moses Moody

PF Jimmy Butler

C Draymond Green

PG Fred VanVleet

SG Jalen Green 

SF Amen Thompson

PF Dillon Brooks

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: S. Curry (24.5)

APG: S. Curry (6)

Reb/G: K. Looney (6.1)

PPG: J. Green (21)

APG: F. VanVleet (5.6)

Reb/G: A. Sengun (10.3)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (2nd season)