Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/13/2025

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Feb 12, 2025
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 13, 2025
Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX
Where to Watch:  SCHN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +1, Rockets -1; Over/Under:  220.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +1, Rockets -1; Over/Under:  220.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +1, Rockets -1; Over/Under:  220.5 points

Season Record

Golden State Warriors:  27-26 (4th place, Pacific Division)
Houston Rockets:  33-20 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Recent Form
Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10
Houston Rockets:  4-6 last 10


Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Preview and Analysis


The Warriors are entering this game with a 27-26 record overall this season and they are 12-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Chicago Bulls and the Milwaukee Bucks, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Dallas Mavericks still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Bucks, Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 38 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 20 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 44.1% from the field, 28.9% from 3-point range, and 78.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.9 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 26-26-1 this season and their O/U record is 27-26.



The Rockets are entering this game with a 33-20 record overall this season and they are 16-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Toronto Raptors, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Phoenix Suns still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Raptors, Dillon Brooks led the team in points in that game with 19 while Jalen Green was next on the team with 18 points. Amen Thompson led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Amen Thompson and Jock Landale each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 36% from the field, 26.3% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.7 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 29-23-1 this season and their O/U record is 27-25-1.


Warriors vs Rockets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 27-26 record overall, but that record has them in the bottom half of the West and in the last play-in spot for the playoffs. They haven't been a good road team this season either with their 12-13 road record. Meanwhile, the Rockets have looked good in their games this season with their 33-20 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot at the moment. They have looked good on their home court too with their 16-8 home record, but lately they haven't looked good at all. They were in 2nd place in the West for a lot of the season but lately they have hit a slump and have slipped down to 5th place in the West. They are coming off a win over the Raptors in their last one, but that game snapped a 6 game losing streak they were on and the Raptors are still one of the worst teams in the NBA. The Warriors have been really up and down this season, but they have looked a lot better lately with their 6-4 record in their last 10 games. They also have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now and they looked great in their win over the Bucks with Jimmy Butler in the lineup. Both teams are in a bad situation here since both are playing this game on a back-to-back and it is the last game before the NBA All-Star break, but the Rockets have been missing a key player in the lineup and they are not getting him back until after the break. They just haven't looked as good with VanVleet out and the Warriors are playing with a lot of momentum after the Butler trade as they try to make a push for the playoffs now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, February 13, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 124 Rockets 112.
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NBA Betting Trends


Golden State Warriors: 24-13 ATS as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 12-6 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 22-16 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 34-26 OVER as a road underdog. 

Houston Rockets: 15-23 ATS when playing on back-to-back days. 10-20 ATS in February games. 24-17 OVER as a home favorite. 14-8 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5.

Key Injuries


Golden State Warriors:  J. Kuminga (PF) Out - Ankle.

Houston Rockets:  A. Şengün (C) Day To Day - Lumbar. F. VanVleet (PG) Out - Ankle. T. Eason (SF) Day To Day - Rest. J. Smith (PF) Out - Hand. C. Zeller (C) Out - Personal.


Notable Quotes


“I’m most impressed with his passing. His passing changes everything. The skill, the strength, the ability to get to the free throw line. And in the end, it goes beyond that. Just his presence out there.” - Steve Kerr on Jimmy Butler after his team’s win against the Bucks in their game on Monday.


“We commend him for playing through a lot. Some guys sit out with certain things, pains and stiffness, and Jalen’s not one of them. He’s played through everything.” - Ime Udoka on Jalen Green this season. 


Starting Lineups


Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Buddy Hield
SF Moses Moody
PF Jimmy Butler
C Draymond Green 

Houston Rockets
PG Amen Thompson
SG Jalen Green 
SF Jae'Sean Tate
PF Dillon Brooks
C Alperen Sengun

Statistical Leaders


Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (23.3)
APG: S. Curry (6.1)
Reb/G: K. Looney (6.9)

Houston Rockets
PPG: J. Green (21.4)
APG: F. VanVleet (5.8)
Reb/G: A. Sengun (10.4)

Coaches:
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)
Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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