Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/03/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Dec 02, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, December 3, 2024
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3, Nuggets -3; Over/Under:  234.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3, Nuggets -3; Over/Under:  234.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3, Nuggets -3; Over/Under:  234.5 points

Season Record

Golden State Warriors:  12-7 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Denver Nuggets:  10-8 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Golden State Warriors:  5-5 last 10
Denver Nuggets:  5-5 last 10


Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis


The Warriors are entering this game with a 12-7 record overall this season and they are 7-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game losing streak with losses coming against the San Antonio Spurs, the Brooklyn Nets, the Oklahoma City Thunder, and the Phoenix Suns. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 23 while Andrew Wiggins was next on the team with 18 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Brandin Podziemski and Stephen Curry each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 41.3% from the field, 35% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.8 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 11-8 this season and their O/U record is 10-9.



The Nuggets are entering this game with a 10-8 record overall this season and they are 5-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Los Angeles Clippers. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 28 while Michael Porter Jr. and Jamal Murray each were next on the team with 18 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 58% from the field, 41.7% from 3-point range, and 52.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.4 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 7-10-1 this season and their O/U record is 12-6.


Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors have looked really good in their games this season with their 12-7 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They had a really hot start to the season, even leading the West at one point, but they haven't looked as good lately which has dropped them to 4th in the West now. They have lost 4 games in a row now, but they haven't looked bad in their road games with their 7-4 road record and they will be looking to bounce back with a win so they can snap out of their funk. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have looked good in their games this season with their 10-8 record overall, but that record has them in 9th place of the West and out of a playoff spot at the moment. They got off to a terrible start this season and have looked better lately, but they are coming off a loss to the Clippers in their last one and haven't even looked that good on their home court this year with their 5-4 home record. The team was missing some key players and now have them back healthy, but this is a game that the Warriors need to win to bounce back from their recent funk. The Nuggets have been a struggling team all season while the Warriors were looking great to start, expect them to bring their best effort and get back on track. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, December 3, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 122 Nuggets 119.
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NBA Betting Trends


Golden State Warriors: 23-17 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 12-1 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. 17-9 ATS off a loss against a division rival. 11-6 UNDER off a road loss against a division rival. 36-24 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game.

Denver Nuggets: 4-10 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 32-20 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 27-17 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 22-15 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 22-14 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%).

Key Injuries


Golden State Warriors:  D. Melton (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Denver Nuggets:  V. Čančar (PF) Out - Knee. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.


Notable Quotes


“Yeah, we gotta think about shortening it. We’ve been really looking carefully at the combinations that we play game to game, and we have a lot of options. That’s not always an easy thing. Sometimes you have too many options. … It gets harder the more people you’re playing.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the Suns in their game on Saturday.


“We need to have an understanding that now they’re playing meaningful minutes. But I think they’re playing good, you know. It’s not their fault that we are not maybe having a good record like we have. You know, we are still trying to learn to play with each other.” - Nikola Jokic after their loss against the LA Clippers in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Brandin Podziemski
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Draymond Green
C Trayce Jackson-Davis

Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Christian Braun
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Statistical Leaders


Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (22.5)
APG: S. Curry (6.3)
Reb/G: K. Looney (7.6)

Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokić (29.6)
APG: N. Jokić (10.7)
Reb/G: N. Jokić (13.2)

Coaches:
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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