Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/07/2025

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, November 7, 2025

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +5.5, Nuggets -5.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +5.5, Nuggets -5.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +5.5, Nuggets -5.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  5-4 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

Denver Nuggets:  5-2 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  5-4 last 9

Denver Nuggets:  5-2 last 7

The Warriors are entering this game with a 5-4 record overall this season and they are 1-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Sacramento Kings. Will Richard led the team in points in that game with 30 while Moses Moody was next on the team with 28 points. Brandin Podziemski led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Brandin Podziemski and Jonathan Kuminga each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 44.9% from the field, 39.5% from 3-point range, and 82.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.3 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 5-4 this season and their O/U record is 6-3.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 5-2 record overall this season and they are 4-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Sacramento Kings and the Miami Heat. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 33 while Aaron Gordon was next on the team with 24 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 16 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 42.6% from the field, 27.5% from 3-point range, and 89.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 124.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.6 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 4-3 this season and their O/U record is 4-3.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 5-2 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 4-0 home record. Meanwhile, the Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 5-4 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West at the moment. They haven't been a good road team though with their 1-4 road record this season. They are off a loss to the Kings in their last one and they aren't going to have the same urgency as the Nuggets here. The Nuggets have looked a lot better in their home games this year and now they have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row. They are also 0-1 in the NBA Cup group stage while this is the first game of the NBA Cup for the Warriors so the Nuggets are going to have more urgency here, trying to avoid falling into a 0-2 hole. The Nuggets have added a lot more depth to their team this season too and they are playing well right now, they can take advantage of a Warriors team that has been struggling on the road to start the season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Warriors Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, November 7, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 117 Warriors 107.

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Golden State Warriors: 22-12 ATS as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 24-12 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 22-16 ATS off a road loss. 30-22 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days.

Denver Nuggets: 14-20 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 16-26 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 29-21 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 34-22 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Golden State Warriors:  D. Green (PF) Day To Day - Rib. S. Curry (PG) Day To Day - Illness. J. Butler III (SG) Day To Day - Back. A. Toohey (PF) Day To Day - Knee. D. Melton (PG) Out - Knee.

Denver Nuggets:  None.

"I thought Al played a great basketball game tonight." - Steve Kerr on Al Horford after his team’s loss against the kings in their game on Wednesday.

"He just spaces the floor so well. He's such a weapon, and he can get his shot off so easily and quickly. It's a big deal. You know, a lot of teams have the athleticism these days, Miami included, to... get a great contest, but a guy that releases the ball that quickly and gets it off, it's a big deal. And not to mention, he just really knows how to play. Tim fits right in [with this group]." - Dave Adelman on Tim Hardaway Jr after his team’s win against the Heat in their game on Wednesday.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Jimmy Butler III

SF Jonathan Kuminga

PF Draymond Green 

C Quinten Post

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Cameron Johnson

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: Stephen Curry (26.8)

APG: Draymond Green (6.4)

Reb/G: Jonathan Kuminga (7.1)

PPG: Nikola Jokic (24.1)

APG: Nikola Jokic (12)

Reb/G: Nikola Jokic (13.4)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (12th season)

Denver Nuggets: David Adelman (2nd season)