Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/02/2023

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Sunday, April 2, 2023

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3, Nuggets -3; Over/Under:  238 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3, Nuggets -3; Over/Under:  238 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +3, Nuggets -3; Over/Under:  238 points

Golden State Warriors:  41-37 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Denver Nuggets:  51-26 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  5-5 last 10

The Warriors are coming into this game with a 41-37 record overall and they are 9-29 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the New Orleans Pelicans and the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 33 while Klay Thompson was next on the team with 31 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 50.5% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.6 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 36-41-1 this season and their O/U record is 42-33-3.

The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 51-26 record overall and they are 32-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the New Orleans Pelicans and the Phoenix Suns in their last game. Aaron Gordon led the team in points in that game with 26 while Bruce Brown Jr. was next on the team with 16 points. Aaron Gordon led the team in assists in that game with 6 while DeAndre Jordan led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 40% from the field, 23.1% from 3-point range, and 55% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 41-35-1 this season and their O/U record is 36-40-1.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets haven't been great in their games lately as they have been dealing with some injuries to their star players too but they still have a number 1 seed in the West to protect so they will come to play in these home games where they have been great all season. They have a 51-26 record overall making them the best team in the West and one of the best in the entire NBA, but they have also been great in their home games with a 32-7 home record this year. The Warriors are only 41-37 this season and they have been terrible in their road games all year with their 9-29 road record. They have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now but the Nuggets haven't locked up their number 1 seed yet and they will be eager to snap their 2 game losing streak here as Jokic is also chasing the MVP this season. The Nuggets will get their bounce back win here at home with the Warriors struggling so much in their road games this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game.

Warriors Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, April 2, 2023 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 124 Warriors 116.

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Golden State Warriors: 5-14 ATS as a road underdog. 0-7 ATS after scoring 130 points or more. 26-9 OVER in road games.

Denver Nuggets: 23-15 ATS in home games. 10-4 ATS against Pacific division opponents. 12-3 OVER as a home underdog.

Golden State Warriors:  A. Iguodala (SG) Late April - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot. A. Wiggins (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.

Denver Nuggets:  N. Jokic (C) Ques Sun - Calf. M. Porter Jr. (PF) Ques Sun - Rest. J. Murray (SG) Ques Sun - Knee. K. Caldwell-Pope (SG) Ques Sun - Illness. C. Gillespie (PG) Mid April - Leg.

“It’s not easy to make 200 3s in a season, so credit to Jordan, he works his tail off every day, same with Steph, just really cool that we have 200 (3-point) guys and I get to play with two of them. He’s our future. We got so lucky to get a guy like him at the 28th pick, that doesn’t happen often.” - Klay Thompson after their win against the Spurs in their game on Friday.

“I am immensely proud. You are down 27 points on the road, second half, second night in a row. Every reason just to roll over and play dead and get ready for Sunday at home. Guys just wouldn't do it.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Suns in their game on Friday.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Klay Thompson

SF Donte DiVincenzo

PF Jonathan Kuminga

C Draymond Green

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: S. Curry (29.7)

APG: D. Green (6.9)

Reb/G: K. Looney (9.1)

PPG: N. Jokic (24.9)

APG: N. Jokic (9.9)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (11.9)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (8th season)