Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/05/2024

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Friday, April 5, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  NBCS-BA

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors +5.5, Mavericks -5.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors +5.5, Mavericks -5.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors +5.5, Mavericks -5.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  41-34 (5th place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  45-30 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  7-3 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  8-2 last 10

The Warriors are entering this game with a 41-34 record overall and they are 22-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat, the Orlando Magic, the Charlotte Hornets, the San Antonio Spurs, and the Dallas Mavericks in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Houston Rockets still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Mavericks, Andrew Wiggins led the team in points in that game with 23 while Klay Thompson and Chris Paul each were next on the team with 14 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Trayce Jackson-Davis and Brandin Podziemski each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 45.6% from the field, 46.9% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 41-33-1 this season and their O/U record is 37-38.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 45-30 record overall and they are 22-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Golden State Warriors in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Atlanta Hawks still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Warriors, Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 30 while Kyrie Irving was next on the team with 27 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 43.8% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 63.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.1 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 43-32 this season and their O/U record is 34-40-1.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked really good in their games this season with their 45-30 record overall which has them in a playoff spot in the West right now. They have been really good on their home court with their 22-15 home record and they have been really hot lately. Meanwhile, the Warriors have also looked good in their games this season with their 41-34 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now, and they are holding down the last play-in spot in the conference. The Warriors have been a good road team this season with their 22-15 road record and they have also been hot lately. The Warriors are still fighting to hang onto their play-in spot in the West and they have a ton of momentum right now with 5 wins in a row, but the Mavericks have still been the hotter team lately. The Warriors are 7-3 in their last 10 games while the Mavericks are 8-2 in their last 10 games, and they just lost to the Warriors on the road the other night. Both of these teams are in tough situations here since both are playing this game on a back-to-back, but the Mavericks are in the better situation being at home while the Warriors have to travel. The Mavericks are going to be focused on getting their revenge in this game since the Warriors ended their winning streak from last week. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game.

Warriors Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 5, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 120 Warriors 108.

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Golden State Warriors: 9-3 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 26-12 ATS in road games. 10-4 UNDER off a road win by 10 points or more. 14-6 UNDER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.

Dallas Mavericks: 5-9 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 6-13 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite. 11-3 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 27-17 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins.

Golden State Warriors:  D. Saric (SF) Prob Thurs - Knee. G. Payton II (PG) Prob Thurs - Ankle. J. Kuminga (PF) Ques Thurs - Knee.

Dallas Mavericks:  G. Brown III (SF) Ques Thurs - Personal. D. Lively II (C) Ques Thurs - Knee. J. Green (SG) Mid April - Ankle.

“It was our defense that got us the win. Holding those guys to 100 points is pretty difficult. I thought (Wiggins) was brilliant. He put in so much effort just trying to make Luka work. Luka was amazing as he always is, but that effort really set a tone.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Mavericks in their game on Tuesday.

“Steph and Klay didn’t play particularly well tonight on the offensive end, but a lot of the other guys got going. I think that was the tale of the game today.” - Kyrie Irving after their loss against the Warriors in their game on Tuesday.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Klay Thompson

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Draymond Green

C Trayce Jackson-Davis

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF P.J. Washington 

C Daniel Gafford

PPG: S. Curry (26.4)

APG: C. Paul (6.8)

Reb/G: D. Green (7.2)

PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)

APG: L. Doncic (9.8)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (10th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)