Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/22/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, March 22, 2023

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Warriors -1.5, Mavericks +1.5; Over/Under:  234.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Warriors -1.5, Mavericks +1.5; Over/Under:  234 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Warriors -1.5, Mavericks +1.5; Over/Under:  234.5 points

Golden State Warriors:  37-36 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  36-36 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Golden State Warriors:  4-6 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  4-6 last 10

The Warriors are coming into this game with a 37-36 record overall and they are 8-29 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Houston Rockets in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 30 while Klay Thompson was next on the team with 29 points. Jordan Poole led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 50% from the field, 35.4% from 3-point range, and 84.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.9 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 34-38-1 this season and their O/U record is 40-30-3.

The Mavericks are coming into this game with a 36-36 record overall and they are 22-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game. Jaren Jackson Jr. led the team in points in that game with 28 while Santi Aldama was next on the team with 22 points. Tyus Jones led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Santi Aldama led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 46.1% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 76.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.2 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 27-42-3 this season and their O/U record is 38-33-1.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks haven't been great this season with their 36-36 record overall as they have been struggling to stay above .500 all year. They have been a lot better in their home games though as they have a 22-14 home record and they just lost a bad game in Memphis in their last game so they are going to be looking to bounce back in a big way on their home court here. The Warriors haven't been much better this season with their 37-36 record overall but they have been terrible in their road games with an 8-29 road record this year. They just won their last game against the Rockets on the road but they have only been able to beat really bad teams on the road this season. The Mavericks blew a lead on the road the other night and they are going to be looking to bounce back with a much better performance here at home against a team that has been terrible in road games all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game.

Warriors Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 22, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 122 Warriors 118.

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Golden State Warriors: 9-27 ATS in road games. 19-27 ATS off a road win. 25-9 OVER in road games.

Dallas Mavericks: 37-23 ATS off a road loss. 8-1 OVER after playing 3 consecutive road games. 22-13 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses.

Golden State Warriors:  A. Iguodala (SG) Out indefinitely - Wrist. G. Payton II (PG) Late March - Thigh. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot. A. Wiggins (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.

Dallas Mavericks:  M. Morris (PF) Ques Wed - Knee. L. Doncic (SF) Out indefinitely - Thigh.

“It’s been a long time. I don’t remember the last road game we won. It’s been a while.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Rockets in their game on Monday.

“We got some great looks, they just didn't go down tonight. When you look at those looks, we would take those.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s loss against the Grizzlies in their game on Monday.

PG Stephen Curry

SG Klay Thompson

SF Donte DiVincenzo

PF Jonathan Kuminga

C Draymond Green

PG Frank Ntilikina

SG Kyrie Irving 

SF Josh Green

PF Reggie Bullock

C Dwight Powell

PPG: S. Curry (29.8)

APG: D. Green (6.8)

Reb/G: K. Looney (9.1)

PPG: L. Doncic (33)

APG: L. Doncic (8)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.6)

Coaches:

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (2nd season)