Georgia State Panthers vs LSU Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/18/2023

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 18, 2023

Venue:  Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  GA State +32, LSU -32; Over/Under:  72.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  GA State +32, LSU -32; Over/Under:  72.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  GA State +31.5, LSU -31.5; Over/Under:  72.5 points

Georgia State Panthers:  6-4 (3-4) (6th place, SBC East)

LSU Tigers:  7-3 (5-2) (3rd place, SEC West)

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Georgia State Panthers:  lost their last game at home against the Appalachian State Mountaineers 42-14.

LSU Tigers:  won their last game at home against the Florida Gators 52-35.

Georgia State is entering this game with a 6-4 record overall and they have a 3-4 record in their conference games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Appalachian State 42-14. Darren Grainger was the starting QB and he completed 15/28 passes for 115 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Marcus Carroll led the team in rushing yards with 113. Robert Lewis led the receivers with 50 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Jeremiah Johnson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Jeremiah Johnson came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

LSU is entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 5-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Florida 52-35. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 17/26 passes for 372 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jayden Daniels led the team in rushing yards with 234 and 2 TDs. Brian Thomas Jr. led the receivers with 150 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Harold Perkins led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Harold Perkins, Bradyn Swinson, and Paris Shand each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have LSU listed as a 32 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. LSU is 7-3 overall this season and they are 5-2 in their conference games. They started the season in a bit of a rough patch but they have been looking a lot better in their games lately, especially at home where they are 5-0 this year. LSU has a really good offense that is going to put up a ton of points in this game, especially with the way Georgia State has been playing lately. Georgia State is 6-4 overall this year but they have really struggled more in conference play with their 3-4 conference record. They started the season really hot but have been cooling off as they play tougher teams and now they are getting LSU here who is tougher than any of the teams they would play in their conference. Georgia State has also lost a few games in a row now as they have fallen off the rails and LSU will take advantage of this home game to blow out another less talented team and keep trying to build this program despite the season being lost. The best way to place a bet here is on LSU to cover the spread in this game. 

Georgia State LSU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 18, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is LSU 56 GA State 14.

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Georgia State Panthers: 4-9 ATS after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play 2 consecutive games. 5-8 ATS off 3 straight losses against conference rivals. 10-2 OVER off an upset loss as a favorite. 10-5 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 7-2 OVER after gaining 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game.

LSU Tigers: 13-5 ATS in home games. 8-2 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game. 6-1 ATS after playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored. 10-0 OVER in all games. 9-0 OVER as a favorite. 8-0 OVER after playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored.

Georgia State Panthers:  K. Byrd (TE) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Credle (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

LSU Tigers:  J. Emery Jr. (RB) out for season - Knee. L. Diggs (RB) Ques Sat - Upper Body. Z. Alexander (CB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. D. Chestnut (CB) Out indefinitely - Personal. A. Goodwin (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. G. Brooks Jr. (S) out for season - Head. J. Johnson (CB) Early Dec - Leg.

"App State came out strong and really were hitting on all cylinders. We controlled the line of scrimmage early and had an opportunity to take the ball down the score but we turned it over. We didn't have what it took it today. This game humbles us, and that football right there defeated us. They were the better team today.” - Shawn Elliott after his team’s loss against App State in their last game. 

“If (Daniels) didn’t win (the Heisman Trophy) tonight he has got to be the leading candidate. Unless the Heisman is just about popularity. If you want to be the most popular then fine, but he is the best player in college football.” - Brian Kelly after his team’s win against Florida in their last game. 

WR Lewis, Robert 

WR Thompson, Cadarrius 

WR Williams, Tailique 

TE Green, Ahmon 

QB Grainger, Darren 

RB Carroll, Marcus

WR Thomas Jr., Brian 

WR Nabers, Malik 

WR Lacy, Kyren

TE Taylor, Mason 

QB Daniels, Jayden 

RB Diggs, Logan 

Passing: D. Grainger (1986)

Rushing: M. Carroll (1206)

Receiving: R. Lewis (727)

Touchdowns: M. Carroll (12)

Passing: J. Daniels (3165)

Rushing: J. Daniels (918)

Receiving: M. Nabers (1284)

Touchdowns: B. Thomas Jr. (13)

Coaches:

Georgia State Panthers: Shawn Elliott (7th season)

LSU Tigers: Brian Kelly (2nd season)