Georgia State Panthers vs Georgia Southern Eagles Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/26/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Oct 23, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, October 26, 2023
Venue:  Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, GA
Where to Watch:  ESPN2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  GA State +2.5, GA Southern -2.5; Over/Under:  62 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  GA State +2.5, GA Southern -2.5; Over/Under:  62 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  GA State +2.5, GA Southern -2.5; Over/Under:  62.5 points

Season Record

Georgia State Panthers:  6-1 (3-1) (2nd place, Sun Belt East)
Georgia Southern Eagles:  5-2 (2-1) (4th place, Sun Belt East)

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Recent Form
Georgia State Panthers:  won their last game on the road against the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns 20-17.
Georgia Southern Eagles:  won their last game at home against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 38-28.


Georgia State Panthers vs Georgia Southern Eagles Preview and Analysis


Georgia State is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against ULL 20-17. Darren Grainger was the starting QB and he completed 17/22 passes for 211 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Marcus Carroll led the team in rushing yards with 110. Tailique Williams led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Justin Abraham led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Josiah Robinson led the defense in sacks with 1. Gavin Pringle came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
Georgia Southern is entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against LA-Monroe 38-28. Davis Brin was the starting QB and he completed 20/36 passes for 240 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jalen White led the team in rushing yards with 164 and 2 TDs. Khaleb Hood led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Marques Watson-Trent led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while Isaac Walker led the defense in sacks with 2.5. T.J. Smith and Tyrell Davis each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.


Georgia State vs Georgia Southern Prediction

The current betting odds have Georgia State listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Georgia Southern has looked really good this season with their 5-2 record overall and they are 2-1 in their conference games with a chance to go to the Sun Belt Championship still. Georgia State has also looked really good in their games this year with their 6-1 record overall and their 3-1 conference record. This is a huge game between these two teams, not just because they are 2 Georgia schools playing against each other, but also because both teams have 1 loss in the conference so the winner of this game has the slightly better chance of going to the Championship game. Both of these teams have great offenses but Georgia Southern has a heavy passing offense while Georgia State has a much better running game and a dual threat QB. Grainger gives the offensive edge to Georgia State here and in a close game between 2 really good teams in the conference who both play in the same state, take the points here. The best way to place a bet here is on Georgia State to cover the spread in this game.

Georgia State Georgia Southern Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Thursday, October 26, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is GA State 38 GA Southern 35.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Georgia State Panthers Georgia Southern Eagles prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Georgia State Panthers: 20-11 ATS in all games. 12-3 ATS in road games. 12-2 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 10-2 UNDER off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog. 15-4 UNDER after a game where they committed no turnovers. 

Georgia Southern Eagles: 5-9 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. 2-6 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 9-3 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 22-10 UNDER after scoring 37 points or more last game. 

Key Injuries


Georgia State Panthers:  K. Byrd (TE) Ques Thurs - Undisclosed. J. Credle (WR) Ques Thurs - Undisclosed. K. Adams (RB) Ques Thurs - Undisclosed.

Georgia Southern Eagles:  None.

Notable Quotes


"What an incredible finish, with our backs against the wall. We were doing nothing offensively [in the second half] and we leave it right there for our defense to make the biggest play of year to seal that victory. It was an incredible finish.” - Shawn Elliott after his team’s win against Louisiana Lafayette in their last game. 


“We are actually in a better position right now than we were at this time last year. We are in a better position from a personnel standpoint and depth wise. If we go 1-0 each and every week, we still have all of our goals ahead of us to compete for a conference championship. A good team looks at their issues and corrects them, and a bad team pouts and sulks.” - Clay Helton on his team this season compared to last year.


Starting Lineups


Georgia State Panthers
WR Lewis, Robert 
WR Thompson, Cadarrius 
WR Williams, Tailique 
TE Green, Ahmon 
QB Grainger, Darren 
RB Carroll, Marcus

Georgia Southern Eagles
WR Queeley, Anthony 
WR Burgess Jr., Derwin 
WR Hood, Khaleb 
WR Cobb, Dalen 
TE Mcafee, Jjay 
QB Brin, Davis 
RB White, Jalen 

Statistical Leaders


Georgia State Panthers
Passing: D. Grainger (1632)
Rushing: M. Carroll (852)
Receiving: R. Lewis (561)
Touchdowns: M. Carroll (10)

Georgia Southern Eagles
Passing: D. Brin (2122)
Rushing: J. White (475)
Receiving: K. Hood (590)
Touchdowns: J. White (6)

Coaches:
Georgia State Panthers: Shawn Elliott (7th season)
Georgia Southern Eagles: Clay Helton (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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