by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Thursday, Nov 11, 2021
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 13, 2021
Venue: Bobcat Stadium, San Marcos, TX
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: GA Southern +2, Texas State -2; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: GA Southern +2.5, Texas State -2.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: GA Southern +2.5, Texas State -2.5; Over/Under: 54 points
Season Record
Georgia Southern Eagles: 2-7 (5th place, Sun Belt Group A)
Texas State Bobcats: 3-6 (2nd place, Sun Belt Group B)
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Georgia Southern Eagles vs Texas State Bobcats Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Georgia Southern Eagles: lost at home on Nov. 6 against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 28-8.
Texas State Bobcats: won at home on Nov. 6 against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 27-19.
Georgia Southern Eagles Analysis
Georgia Southern is coming into this game with a 2-7 record overall and they are 0-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 7th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 1-5 in their conference games this season. They have lost 7 of their last 8 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Justin Tomlin did not play well in that game as he completed 6/13 passes for 83 yards and 1 interception while Cam Ransom who was also in the game completed 5/10 passes for 64 yards and 1 touchdown. Tomlin also led the team in rushing with 39 yards on 10 carries while Logan Wright also had 10 carries for 35 yards. Khaleb Hood led the receivers with 66 yards on 5 receptions while Beau Johnson caught the only touchdown pass for them in that one. Michael Edwards III and Eldrick Robinson II both led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones each. Reid Dedman had the only sack in that game for them while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 185 points in their 9 games this season averaging 20.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 286 points against them allowing 31.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 359.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 460.4 YPG.
Texas State Bobcats Analysis
Texas State is coming into this game with a 3-6 record overall and they are 2-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 6th conference matchup on thier schedule this year and they are currently 2-3 in their conference games this season. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 3 game losing streak that they were on. Tyler Vitt played alright in their last game as he completed 16/31 passes for 262 yards and 1 touchdown. Jahmyl Jeter led the team in rushing with 92 yards and 1 touchdown on 16 carries. Marcell Barbee had a nice day as he led the receivers with 102 yards on 5 receptions while Javen Banks had 62 yards and 1 touchdown on 2 receptions. DeJordan Mask led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Issiah Nixon, Nico Ezidore, Kordell Rodgers, and Nick McCann all led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 202 points in their 9 games this season averaging 22.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 301 points against them allowing 33.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 348 YPG while their defense is allowing 424.4 YPG.
Georgia Southern vs Texas State Prediction
Texas State is coming into this game as a 2 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams have been bad this season but Georgia Southern has been much worse in their games. They are riding a big losing streak coming into this one while Texas State is coming off of a win and should have their confidence high for this game. Texas State also has more wins in the conference than GA Southern has and they will be at home for this game, GA Southern is winless on the road this season. This is a great spot for Texas State to build off of their last win and get another in this game. The best bet to place in this game is on Texas State to cover the spread here.
Georgia Southern Texas State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 13, 2021 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Texas State 24 GA Southern 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Georgia Southern Eagles: 54-47 ATS in all games. 27-22 ATS as an underdog. 17-15 ATS as a road underdog. 35-24 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest. 23-18 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders.
Texas State Bobcats: 55-57 ATS in all games. 13-14 ATS as a favorite. 9-13 ATS as a home favorite. 27-29 ATS in home games. 34-37 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Georgia Southern Eagles: D. Carter Jr. (SB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. D. Canteen (CB) out for season - Pectoral injury. T. Bradley-Glenn (LB) out for season - Bicep injury.
Texas State Bobcats: B. McBride (QB) Ques Sat - Ankle injury. D. Moorer (WR) out for season - Undisclosed injury. W. Jones (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot injury.
Notable Quotes
"So many things excited me about this opportunity. The first part that excited me was the leadership. The vision from the top down, the vision to be a platinum standard athletic program. The desire to win conference championships consistently and build a product on a national scale. It fit my own standards of what we expect as a football family and what I expect as a football coach and my staff." - Clay Helton on becoming the new head coach.
“Vitt is starting right now and Brady is ready to roll. I think of where we’re at with T-Vitt and what he’s done. He is taking care of the football and he’s doing some really good things right now. ... He just is kind of giving us a spark right now, but Brady is ready to roll.” - Jake Spavital on the quarterback status coming into this game.
Starting Lineups
Georgia Southern Eagles
WR Mcafee, Jjay
WR Burgess Jr., Derwin
WR Hood, Khaleb
TE Johnson, Beau
QB Tomlin, Justin
RB Wright, Logan
Texas State Bobcats
WR Marcell Barbee
WR Javen Banks
WR Speights, Chandler
WR Drue Jackson
TE Lanam, Jackson
QB Vitt, Tyler
RB Calvin Hill
Statistical Leaders
Georgia Southern Eagles
Passing: J. Tomlin (869)
Rushing: L. Wright (684)
Receiving: K. Hood (348)
Touchdowns: L. Wright (6)
Texas State Bobcats
Passing: B. McBride (1507)
Rushing: C. Hill (447)
Receiving: J. Banks (501)
Touchdowns: Jahmyl Jeter (5)
Coaches:
Georgia Southern Eagles: Clay Helton (1st season)
Texas State Bobcats: Jake Spavital (3rd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
