by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Tuesday, Nov 23, 2021
Game Time: 2:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 27, 2021
Venue: Kidd Brewer Stadium, Boone, NC
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: GA Southern +24.5, App State -24.5; Over/Under: 55 points
Bet365: Point Spread: GA Southern +24.5, App State -24.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: GA Southern +24.5, App State -24.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Season Record
Georgia Southern Eagles: 3-8 (5th place, Sun Belt Group A)
Appalachian State Mountaineers: 9-2 (1st place, Sun Belt Group A)
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Georgia Southern Eagles vs Appalachian State Mountaineers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Georgia Southern Eagles: lost at home on Nov. 20 against the BYU Cougars 34-17.
Appalachian State Mountaineers: won on the road on Nov. 20 against the Troy Trojans 45-7.
Georgia Southern Eagles Analysis
GA Southern is coming into this game with a 3-8 record overall and they are 1-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 2-5 in their conference games this season. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one off of another loss in their last game. Connor Cigelske did not play well in that game as he completed 11/14 passes for 122 yards and 1 interception. Amare Jones also threw a pass and ended up throwing an interception in that one. Logan Wright led the team in rushing with 50 yards and 2 touchdowns on 14 carries. Wright also led the receivers with 43 yards on 5 receptions while Beau Johnson had 28 yards on 1 reception. Anthony Wilson led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. No one on the defense recorded any sacks or interceptions for them in that one. They have scored 240 points in their 11 games this season averaging 21.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 350 points against them allowing 31.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 354.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 455 YPG.
Appalachian State Mountaineers Analysis
App State is coming into this college football game with a 9-2 record overall and they are 5-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 6-1 in their conference games this season. They have won 8 of their last 9 games and are coming into this one on a 5 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Chase Brice was good enough to get them the win in that game but he struggled quite a bit as he completed 17/24 passes for 212 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Nate Noel had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 102 yards and 1 touchdown on 15 carries while Daetrich Harrington and Jahmir Smith each ran in 1 TD on the ground as well. Thomas Henneigan led the receivers with 85 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions while Corey Sutton had 76 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions. Eli Wilson caught the other touchdown pass in that game. T.D. Roof led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Roof and Logan Doublin both recorded the only sacks in that game with 1 each while Roof also had the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 402 points in their 11 games this season averaging 36.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 224 points against them allowing 20.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 450.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 331 YPG.
Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction
App State is coming into this game as a 24.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. App State has been playing great all season as they overtook the 1st place spot in their division but their defense has really been playing well in their recent games. Their defense has only allowed their opponents to score 7 points in each game of their last 2. They have also been blowing teams out by over 30 points in their recent games like their win last week. Georgia Southern is not a good team, they are one of the worst in the Sun Belt and their defense allows way too many yards and points each game. The best bet to place in this game is on App State to cover the spread here as they are going to blow out another team in their way.
Georgia Southern Appalachian State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 27, 2021 (2:30 pm ET start time) is App State 42 GA Southern 10.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Georgia Southern Eagles: 56-47 ATS in all games. 29-22 ATS as an underdog. 18-15 ATS as a road underdog. 27-26 ATS in road games. 48-38 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest.
Appalachian State Mountaineers: 7-10 O/U as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points. 47-53 O/U in all games. 38-41 O/U as a favorite. 30-35 O/U against conference opponents. 28-35 O/U after playing a conference game.
Key Injuries
Georgia Southern Eagles: C. Ransom (QB) Ques Sat - Shoulder injury. G. Green (RB) Ques Sat - Concussion. D. Carter Jr. (SB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury.
Appalachian State Mountaineers: None.
Notable Quotes
"When they came out of the locker room, I didn't know if it was the Buffalo Bills or BYU. My god, these guys are big. Very big, very physical. They lived up to everything I thought they'd be. They're a national program. So I knew a lot about the staff, those guys, before this week.” - Kevin Whitley on his team’s loss against BYU in their last game.
“Very proud of our program to come down to Troy, get a big win and seal the East. That was our goal all year long, to win our division and play for a championship.” - Shawn Clark on his team’s win against Troy, clinching their spot in the title game.
Starting Lineups
Georgia Southern Eagles
WR Jones, Amare
WR Burgess Jr., Derwin
WR Khaleb Hood
TE Johnson, Beau
QB Ransom, Cam
RB Wright, Logan
Appalachian State Mountaineers
WR Thomas Hennigan
WR Sutton, Corey
WR Malik Williams
TE Pearson, Henry
QB Brice, Chase
RB Nathaniel Noel
Statistical Leaders
Georgia Southern Eagles
Passing: Justin Tomlin (977)
Rushing: L. Wright (761)
Receiving: K. Hood (424)
Touchdowns: L. Wright (8)
Appalachian State Mountaineers
Passing: C. Brice (2668)
Rushing: N. Noel (1011)
Receiving: C. Sutton (821)
Touchdowns: C. Peoples (13)
Coaches:
Georgia Southern Eagles: Kevin Whitley (Interim)
Appalachian State Mountaineers: Shawn Clark (3rd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
