by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 11, 2023
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 14, 2023
Venue: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Georgia -31.5, Vanderbilt +31.5; Over/Under: 56 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Georgia -31.5, Vanderbilt +31.5; Over/Under: 56 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Georgia -31.5, Vanderbilt +31.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Season Record
Georgia Bulldogs: 6-0 (3-0) (1st place, SEC East)
Vanderbilt Commodores: 2-5 (0-3) (7th place, SEC East)
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Georgia Bulldogs: won their last game at home against the Kentucky Wildcats 51-13.
Vanderbilt Commodores: lost their last game on the road against the Florida Gators 38-14.
Georgia Bulldogs vs Vanderbilt Commodores Preview and Analysis
Georgia is entering this game with a 6-0 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Kentucky 51-13. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 28/35 passes for 389 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Daijun Edwards led the team in rushing yards with 54. Brock Bowers led the receivers with 132 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Malaki Starks led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jamon Dumas-Johnson led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 2-5 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Florida 38-14. Ken Seals was the starting QB and he completed 19/34 passes for 276 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Sedrick Alexander led the team in rushing yards with 27. Will Sheppard led the receivers with 107 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Savion Riley led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Ethan Barr and Aeneas Dicosmo each led the defense in sacks with 1. Cordell Taylor came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Georgia vs Vanderbilt Prediction
The current betting odds have Vanderbilt listed as a 31.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Vanderbilt is 2-5 this season and they have been terrible in conference play with their 0-3 conference record as they have been getting blown out in a ton of games. Now they are at home against the 1st ranked team in the country but Georgia hasn't really looked great themselves this season as they have had some closer calls against SEC opponents. They did blowout Kentucky in their last game but that game was at home and was also the 1st spread they have covered all year. Other than that 1 game last week, Georgia hasn't really beaten many FBS teams this year by 30+ points and Vanderbilt is a team that hasn't covered a single spread all season. This is a great spot for Vanderbilt to cover their 1st spread of the year at home against a team that has also been struggling to cover this season. The best way to place a bet here is on Vanderbilt to cover the spread in this game.
Georgia Vanderbilt Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 14, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Georgia 42 Vanderbilt 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Georgia Bulldogs: 10-3 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 9-5 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 5-1 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 3 straight games. 9-5 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 83-53 UNDER after a win by 17 or more points.
Vanderbilt Commodores: 0-7 ATS in all games. 4-11 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 3-14 ATS in home games. 6-3 UNDER as an underdog of 31 or more points. 6-3 UNDER after playing 3 straight conference games.
Key Injuries
Georgia Bulldogs: R. Robinson II (RB) Doub Sat - Ankle. E. Lightsey (LB) Out indefinitely - Back. A. Mims (OL) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Ingram-Dawkins (DL) Out indefinitely - Foot. B. Robinson (RB) out for season - Knee.
Vanderbilt Commodores: D. Wright (LB) Doub Sat - Undisclosed. B. Anderson (CB) Out Sat - Undisclosed. A. Swann (QB) Ques Sat - Elbow. J. Uzebu (OL) out for season - Lower Body. K. Patterson (LB) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Palmer (TE) Out indefinitely - Back. C. Spence (TE) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“When you run the ball and you have play-action and your offensive line protects and you have throwers and catchers, you’re going to do well. It makes it hard to defend us as a team because (Beck is) standing back there all day because you’re protecting and you can’t cover (the receivers) very long.” - Kirby Smart after his team’s win against Kentucky in their last game.
“The key for us today was missed opportunities. We have to be better in those moments to give ourselves a chance to win.” - Clark Lea after his team’s loss against Florida in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Georgia Bulldogs
WR Rosemy-Jacksaint, Marcus
WR Thomas, Rara
WR Lovett, Dominic
TE Bowers, Brock
QB Beck, Carson
RB Edwards, Daijun
Vanderbilt Commodores
WR Sheppard, Will
WR Humphreys, London
WR McGowan, Jayden
TE Ball, Justin
TE Kyle, Logan
QB Seals, Ken
RB Smith, Patrick
Statistical Leaders
Georgia Bulldogs
Passing: C. Beck (1886)
Rushing: D. Edwards (314)
Receiving: B. Bowers (544)
Touchdowns: D. Edwards (5)
Vanderbilt Commodores
Passing: A. Swann (1290)
Rushing: P. Smith (246)
Receiving: W. Sheppard (550)
Touchdowns: W. Sheppard (8)
Coaches:
Georgia Bulldogs: Kirby Smart (8th season)
Vanderbilt Commodores: Clark Lea (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
