Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/30/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Dec 29, 2023
Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 30, 2023
Venue:  Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UGA -20, FSU +20; Over/Under:  44.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  UGA -20, FSU +20; Over/Under:  44 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UGA -20.5, FSU +20.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Season Record

Georgia Bulldogs:  12-1 (8-1) (1st place, SEC East)
Florida State Seminoles:  13-0 (8-0) (1st place, ACC)

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Recent Form
Georgia Bulldogs:  lost their last game at a neutral site against the Alabama Crimson Tide 27-24.
Florida State Seminoles:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Louisville Cardinals 16-6.


Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida State Seminoles Preview and Analysis


Georgia is entering this game with a 12-1 record overall and they have an 8-0 record in their conference games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against Alabama 27-24. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 21/29 passes for 243 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kendall Milton led the team in rushing yards with 42 and 2 TDs. Brock Bowers led the receivers with 53 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Malaki Starks led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jalon Walker led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
Florida State is entering this game with a 13-0 record overall and they have an 8-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Louisville 16-6. Brock Glenn was the starting QB and he completed 8/21 passes for 55 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Lawrance Toafili led the team in rushing yards with 118 and 1 TD. Johnny Wilson led the receivers with 21 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Patrick Payton led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Braden Fiske led the defense in sacks with 3. Tatum Bethune came away with the only interception for them in that game.


Georgia vs Florida State Prediction

The current betting odds have Georgia listed as a 20 point favorite in this Orange Bowl game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Georgia has looked really good in their games this season with their 12-1 record overall and they are ranked as one of the best teams in the country too. They fell short of the college football playoffs this season with their loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship, but they will be looking to erase that loss here and end the season on a positive note despite not being in the game they wanted. Meanwhile, Florida State has also looked great in their games this season with their 13-0 record overall and they went on to win the ACC Championship, but they were still left out of the CFP due to the way they looked in their 2 games without Jordan Travis. As a result of being left out, a ton of their players have entered the transfer portal now and they don't have many starters going in this game. Georgia has a big advantage with the number of starters they have entering the transfer portal compared to Florida State and they have the more complete team now that FSU is down to their 3rd string QB. Georgia will finish their year strong with a win in this game and they will show why FSU wasn't worthy of a playoff spot. The best way to place a bet here is on Georgia to cover the spread in this game. 

Georgia Florida State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 30, 2023 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Georgia 42 Florida State 16.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Georgia Bulldogs Florida State Seminoles prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Georgia Bulldogs: 4-8 ATS in all games. 4-8 ATS as a favorite. 2-5 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers. 28-17 UNDER as a neutral field favorite. 21-9 UNDER off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. 11-6 UNDER after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers.

Florida State Seminoles: 9-4 ATS as an underdog. 12-5 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 17-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 9-4 UNDER as an underdog. 27-15 UNDER against SEC opponents. 9-4 UNDER after 2 consecutive games where they committed no turnovers.

Key Injuries


Georgia Bulldogs:  B. Bowers (TE) Out Sat - Ankle. R. Thomas (WR) Ques Sat - Foot. E. Lightsey (LB) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Dumas-Johnson (LB) Out indefinitely - Forearm. B. Robinson (RB) out for season - Knee.

Florida State Seminoles:  L. Toafili (RB) Out Sat - Undisclosed. H. Williams (WR) Prob Sat - Foot. D. Hill (WR) Out Sat - Undisclosed. T. Rodemaker (QB) Out Sat - Head. K. Coleman (WR) Out Sat - Personal. J. Travis (QB) out for season - Leg. D. Jackson Jr. (DL) out for season - Eligibility.

Notable Quotes


"The leaders of the team spearheaded that. I stayed out of it. I met with each player who was draft eligible and the seniors, and I was very honest. Then they had to make a decision with their family. But they want to go out on top. They don't want their last Georgia outing to be the SEC championship." - Kirby Smart on his team playing against FSU in the Orange Bowl. 


“We just beat a top 15 team with a true freshman quarterback. I don't care what people think. We win. We win. And if we get the opportunity to go play in the national semifinal it's going to be a challenge, but I believe in this team, I believe in what they can do and I believe in who they are.” - Mike Norvell after his team’s win against Louisville in their last game which was the ACC Championship.


Starting Lineups


Georgia Bulldogs
WR Rosemy-Jacksaint, Marcus 
WR McConkey, Ladd  
WR Lovett, Dominic 
TE Delp, Oscar 
QB Beck, Carson 
RB Edwards, Daijun

Florida State Seminoles
WR Poitier, Kentron 
WR Williamson, Darion 
WR Hill, Destyn  
TE Morlock, Kyle 
QB Glenn, Brock  
RB Holmes, Caziah 
RB Douglas, Ja'Khi 

Statistical Leaders


Georgia Bulldogs
Passing: C. Beck (3738)
Rushing: D. Edwards (818)
Receiving: B. Bowers (713)
Touchdowns: K. Milton (12)

Florida State Seminoles
Passing: J. Travis (2755)
Rushing: T. Benson (905)
Receiving: K. Coleman (658)
Touchdowns: T. Benson (15)

Coaches:
Georgia Bulldogs: Kirby Smart (8th season)
Florida State Seminoles: Mike Norvell (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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