Georgia Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/30/2023

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 30, 2023

Venue:  Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UGA -14, Auburn +14; Over/Under:  47 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UGA -14.5, Auburn +14.5; Over/Under:  47 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UGA -14.5, Auburn +14.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Georgia Bulldogs:  4-0 (1-0) (1st place, SEC East)

Auburn Tigers:  3-1 (0-1) (5th place, SEC West)

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Georgia Bulldogs:  won their last game at home against the UAB Blazers 49-21.

Auburn Tigers:  lost their last game on the road against the Texas A&M Aggies 27-10.

Georgia is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against UAB 49-21. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 22/32 passes for 338 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Daijun Edwards led the team in rushing yards with 66 and 2 TDs. Brock Bowers led the receivers with 121 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 2 TDs. Xavian Sorey Jr. led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Warren Brinson led the defense in sacks with 1. Tykee Smith came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Auburn is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Texas A&M 27-10. Payton Thorne was the starting QB and he completed 6/12 passes for 44 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Brian Battie led the team in rushing yards with 59. Brian Battie led the receivers with 23 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Eugene Asante led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Caleb Wooden and Cam Riley each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Auburn listed as a 14 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn is 3-1 this season but they haven't looked great in their games despite their record. They are in the middle of a rebuild and have been playing well to be at 3-1 but they also beat up on 2 bad teams. Their other win came against California in a game they barely won and now they just lost their 1st game of the season on the road against Texas A&M. Auburn's offense has struggled but they have been a lot better in their 2 home games and they are going to respond to that loss with a much better performance here. Georgia is 4-0 this season and they are the defending National Champions but they haven't looked that great in their games. They haven't really played anyone this year and their offense has been struggling to put points up in their games. They also struggled a lot in the only conference game they played and that was at home to South Carolina. Auburn has a good defense that is going to put up a fight against this struggling Georgia offense while the Auburn offense has played a lot better in their home games and this Georgia defense is definitely not what it used to be. The best way to place a bet here is on Auburn to cover the spread in this game.

Georgia Auburn Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 30, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Georgia 28 Auburn 17.

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Georgia Bulldogs: 8-0 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 9-3 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite. 8-4 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more. 36-19 UNDER off a home blowout win by 28 points or more. 27-15 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.

Auburn Tigers: 4-9 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 2-6 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 26-17 UNDER as a home underdog. 34-21 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49.

Georgia Bulldogs:  D. Morrissette (WR) day-to-day - Groin. L. McConkey (WR) day-to-day - Back. E. Lightsey (LB) day-to-day - Back. A. Blaske (OL) day-to-day - Knee. P. Spurlin III (TE) day-to-day - Undisclosed. K. Milton (RB) day-to-day - Knee. J. Bullard (DB) day-to-day - Ankle. R. Robinson II (RB) day-to-day - Ankle. A. Mims (OL) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Ingram-Dawkins (DL) Out indefinitely - Foot. B. Robinson (RB) out for season - Knee. L. Luckie (TE) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

Auburn Tigers:  D. Alston (RB) day-to-day - Shoulder. K. Scott (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. A. Keys (LB) Out indefinitely - Thumb.

“Carson had a couple throws he missed. I think he’d like to have back but he was pretty accurate other than that. He continues to be explosive and continues to protect the ball.” - Kirby Smart after his team’s win against UAB in their last game. 

“I thought our kids played well enough on defense to win the game, outside of the few explosive plays ... on offense, we’re searching. And we’ve got to find some answers.” - Hugh Freeze after his team’s loss against Texas A&M in their last game. 

WR Smith, Arian 

WR Rosemy-Jacksaint, Marcus

WR Lovett, Dominic 

TE Bowers, Brock 

QB Beck, Carson 

RB Milton, Kendall 

WR Hooks, Shane 

WR Shorter, Jyaire 

WR Fair, Jay  

TE Fairweather, Rivaldo 

QB Thorne, Payton 

RB Hunter, Jarquez 

Passing: C. Beck (1184)

Rushing: D. Edwards (184)

Receiving: B. Bowers (255)

Touchdowns: B. Bowers (3)

Passing: P. Thorne (561)

Rushing: J. Hunter (143)

Receiving: J. Fair (184)

Touchdowns: R. Ashford (4)

Coaches:

Georgia Bulldogs: Kirby Smart (8th season)

Auburn Tigers: Hugh Freeze (1st season)