by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 28, 2023
Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 2, 2023
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UGA -6, Alabama +6; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UGA -6, Alabama +6; Over/Under: 54.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UGA -5.5, Alabama +5.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Season Record
Georgia Bulldogs: 12-0 (8-0) (1st place, SEC East)
Alabama Crimson Tide: 11-1 (8-0) (1st place, SEC West)
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Recent Form
Georgia Bulldogs: won their last game on the road against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 31-23.
Alabama Crimson Tide: won their last game on the road against the Auburn Tigers 27-24.
Georgia Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Preview and Analysis
Georgia is entering this game with a 12-0 record overall and they have an 8-0 record in their conference games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Georgia Tech 31-23. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 13/20 passes for 175 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Kendall Milton led the team in rushing yards with 156 and 2 TDs. Dominic Lovett led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Smael Mondon Jr. led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Christen Miller and Marvin Jones Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Alabama is entering this game with an 11-1 record overall and they have an 8-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Auburn 27-24. Jalen Milroe was the starting QB and he completed 16/24 passes for 259 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jalen Milroe led the team in rushing yards with 107. Jermaine Burton led the receivers with 107 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Jaylen Key led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Deontae Lawson, Chris Braswell, Dallas Turner, and Justin Eboigbe each led the defense in sacks with 1. Terrion Arnold came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that game.
Georgia vs Alabama Prediction
The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 6 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This game will be the SEC Championship between Georgia and Alabama with this game being at a neutral site. Alabama has looked really good in their games this season with their 11-1 record overall and their 8-0 conference record. Their 1 loss this season was at home against Texas but they have looked a lot better in their conference games and have been picking up momentum toward the end of the season. Georgia has also looked great in their games this season with their 12-0 record overall and their 8-0 conference record but they also had a much weaker schedule than Alabama had. Georgia has also had a few close calls this season in games where they haven't looked right and it is evident this is not the same team that has won back-to-back National Championships. Their offense is a lot better but their defense is not up to par this year and there is no doubt this is the only game that has been on Saban's mind. Both teams had close calls in their games last week but Alabama is going to be really motivated to finally beat Georgia and the way they have been playing in their games lately, they will keep this game close enough to cover if they don't pull off the upset. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game.
Georgia Alabama Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 2, 2023 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 27 Georgia 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Georgia Bulldogs: 4-10 ATS off 2 consecutive road wins. 19-28 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games. 15-7 OVER off a road no-cover where the team won as a favorite. 5-2 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.
Alabama Crimson Tide: 7-2 ATS as a neutral field underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. 7-1 ATS off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less. 9-4 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 8-2 OVER in all games. 6-1 OVER off 1 or more straight overs. 13-6 OVER off a win against a conference rival.
Key Injuries
Georgia Bulldogs: C. Smith (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. R. Thomas (WR) Ques Sat - Foot. L. McConkey (WR) Ques Sat - Ankle. E. Lightsey (LB) Early Dec - Back. J. Dumas-Johnson (LB) Out indefinitely - Forearm. B. Robinson (RB) out for season - Knee.
Alabama Crimson Tide: J. MccLellan (RB) Ques Sat - Lower Body. J. Key (DB) Ques Sat - Thigh. J. Brooks (WR) Ques Sat - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“Kendall stepped up all year. He did a great job with yards after contact.” - Kirby Smart after his team’s win against GA Tech in their last game.
“We’ve been on both sides of the good fortune and the misfortune, and I’ve gotta admit, we had good fortune. But it still comes down to ability to execute.” - Nick Saban after his team’s win against Auburn in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Georgia Bulldogs
WR Rosemy-Jacksaint, Marcus
WR McConkey, Ladd
WR Lovett, Dominic
TE Bowers, Brock
QB Beck, Carson
RB Edwards, Daijun
Alabama Crimson Tide
WR Benson, Malik
WR Burton, Jermaine
WR Bond, Isaiah
TE Dippre, CJ
QB Milroe, Jalen
RB McClellan, Jase
Statistical Leaders
Georgia Bulldogs
Passing: C. Beck (3495)
Rushing: D. Edwards (780)
Receiving: B. Bowers (660)
Touchdowns: D. Edwards (11)
Alabama Crimson Tide
Passing: J. Milroe (2526)
Rushing: J. MccLellan (803)
Receiving: J. Burton (749)
Touchdowns: J. Milroe (12)
Coaches:
Georgia Bulldogs: Kirby Smart (8th season)
Alabama Crimson Tide: Nick Saban (17th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
