by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Monday, Nov 22, 2021
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Thursday, November 25, 2021
Venue: CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Fresno -7, SJSU +7; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Fresno -7.5, SJSU +7.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Fresno NL, SJSU NL; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Season Record
Fresno State Bulldogs: 8-3 (2nd place, MW West)
San Jose State Spartans: 5-6 (4th place, MW West)
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Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Jose State Spartans Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Fresno State Bulldogs: won at home on Nov. 13 against the New Mexico Lobos 34-7.
San Jose State Spartans: lost at home on Nov. 13 against the Utah State Aggies 48-17.
Fresno State Bulldogs Analysis
Fresno State is coming into this college football game with an 8-3 record overall and they are 3-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 5-2 in their conference games this season. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and they are coming into this one off of another win in their last game. Jake Haener played great in that game as he completed 24/31 passes for 300 yards and 3 touchdowns. Ronnie Rivers led the team in rushing with 71 yards and 1 touchdown on 20 carries. Jordan Mims had a nice day as he led the receivers with 103 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions while Josh Kelly had 76 yards and 1 touchdown on 6 receptions. Raymond Pauwels caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Malachi Langley led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. No one on the defense recorded any sacks in that game while Cale Sanders Jr. came up with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 363 points in their 11 games this season averaging 33 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 234 points against them allowing 21.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 461.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 344.3 YPG.
San Jose State Spartans Analysis
SJSU is coming into this game with a 5-6 record overall and they are 3-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their MWC schedule this year and they are currently 3-4 in their conference games this season. They are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Nick Starkel struggled in that game as he completed 19/29 passes for 138 yards and 1 interception. Nick Nash led the team in rushing with 16 yards on 7 carries while Tyler Nevens had 12 yards and 1 touchdown on 10 carries. Isaiah Hamilton led the receivers with 43 yards on 4 receptions in what was a pretty quiet day for the receiving corps. Kyle Harmon led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 11 assisted ones. Junior Fehoko and Tre Smith both recorded the only sacks in that game with 1 each while Kenyon Reed came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 231 points in their 11 games this season averaging 21 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 278 points against them allowing 325.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 342.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 360.8 YPG.
Fresno State vs San Jose State Prediction
SJSU is coming into this game as a 7 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The SJSU players have already mentioned that they have been looking ahead to this game all year against this team. SJSU needs a win in this game to become bowl eligible and it is their last game to get that win in. They also have a chance to ruin Fresno State's chances at a conference title with a win and they will be highly motivated to get up for this game. The best bet to place in this game is on SJSU to cover the spread as they will be motivated and will keep this game close.
Fresno State San Jose State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Thursday, November 25, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Fresno State 31 SJSU 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Fresno State Bulldogs: 24-30 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 43-46 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 92-102 ATS as a favorite. 116-119 ATS against conference opponents.
San Jose State Spartans: 87-113 O/U in all games. 30-36 O/U when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 57-79 O/U as an underdog. 22-27 O/U as a home underdog. 40-50 O/U in home games. 60-78 O/U against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Fresno State Bulldogs: None.
San Jose State Spartans: S. Olson (TE) Ques Thurs - Undisclosed injury. T. Loville (WR) Ques Thurs - Undisclosed injury. N. Starkel (QB) Out indefinitely - Arm injury.
Notable Quotes
“There is no one more disappointed than these guys. They’re the ones that invest all week long and hours and hours of film work, practice time, treatments to be able to even get on the football field.” - Kalen DeBoer on his team’s morale after their loss to Boise State.
“That’s a real thing for all of our seniors. It means a lot to us. I know that I’m not just speaking for myself when I say that this game really is the most important game that I’ve ever played in, just because of all the implications behind it.” - Nick Starkel on their upcoming game against Fresno State.
Starting Lineups
Fresno State Bulldogs
WR Wheatfall, Keric
WR Kelly, Josh
WR Jalen Cropper
TE Rodriguez, Juan
QB Haener, Jake
RB Rivers, Ronnie
San Jose State Spartans
WR Ross, Charles
WR Hamilton, Isaiah
WR Braddock, Jermaine
TE Derrick Deese Jr.
QB Nash, Nick
RB Nevens, Tyler
Statistical Leaders
Fresno State Bulldogs
Passing: J. Haener (3467)
Rushing: R. Rivers (723)
Receiving: J. Cropper (751)
Touchdowns: J. Cropper (10)
San Jose State Spartans
Passing: N. Starkel (1385)
Rushing: T. Nevens (711)
Receiving: D. Deese (687)
Touchdowns: T. Nevens (7)
Coaches:
Fresno State Bulldogs: Kalen DeBoer (2nd season)
San Jose State Spartans: Brent Brennan (5th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
