by James Q
Saturday, Nov 27, 2021Fresno State Bulldogs vs California Golden Bears Prediction Spread and Trends to Watch - 11/28/2021
Game Time: 9:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 28th, 2021
Venue: Haas Pavilion, Berkeley, California
Where to Watch: Pac-12 Network
Opening NCAAB Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings Sportsbook: Spread: Cal -2.5; O/U 122.5
Caesars: Spread: NA
PointsBet: Spread: NA
Season Record
Fresno State: 0-0 conf, 5-0 overall (Mountain West)
Cal: 0-0 conf, 2-4 overall (Pac-12)
Fresno State is 5-0 on the season and therefore on a 5-game winning streak. They have been feasting on teams like Santa Clara, Pepperdine, Idaho,... all small programs waiting to get their lunch taken. The Cal Bears are their first Pac-12 opponent, but if they get passed them it looks like smooth sailing until Utah in game 12.
The Cal Bears are stumbling a bit out of the gate. The Bears have definitely played a tougher line-up than Fresno that is for sure. Cal’s last two games were losses to #23 Florida 80-60 and #21 Seton Hall 62-59. Some losses have been close games, but they still have lost 4. Their only two wins have come against San Diego and Southern Utah. It’s gonna be a long season.
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Fresno State vs California Preview and Analysis
RECENT FORM
Fresno is 5-0 on the season, but 3-1 ATS. They have logged 1 Over and 3 Unders. They are 3-0 at home and have played the other two at neutral sites. This will be their first official road game of the season.
California is 2-4 on the season, but 4-2 ATS. They have notched 4 Overs and 2 Unders. They are 2-1 at home. It seems as if they are missing an Over/Under, but game 1 was against Fresno Pacific which counted in the win column, but did not merit betting lines from the Sportsbooks.
OFFENSIVE ANALYSIS
The Bulldogs are 204th in college basketball in ppg with 71.2. They are 121st in AST/TO ratio with 1.1. As a team they shoot 45.1 FG%, (152nd), 31.6 3PT% (240th), 72.6 FT% 162nd).
The Bears are 297th in college basketball with 64.7 ppg and 304th in AST/TO ratio with 0.7. They aren’t very explosive at all.
DEFENSIVE ANALYSIS
The Bulldogs are 30th on defense in college basketball with a caveat… They allow 58.2 ppg.
Cal is better on defense then they are on offense. They are only allowing 69.2 ppg and holding opponents to 41.4 FG%. They aren’t translating any of that to points in transition.
Fresno State Bulldogs vs California Bears Prediction
Our prediction for Sunday, November 28th, is… Fresno 74 - Cal 66
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Cal is 1-0 ATS versus Fresno over the last 3 seasons.
Cal is 1-0 ATS versus Fresno at Cal over the last 3 seasons.
Since 1997 Cal is 4-3 ATS versus Fresno
Starting Lineups
Fresno: PG Isaiah Hill, SG J Campbell, Sf A Holland, PF Leo Colimerio, C O Robinson
Cal: PG Joel Brown, SG J Shepherd, SF Kuany Kuany, PF Andre Kelly, G Anticevich
Statistical Leaders
Fresno State
Points: Orlando Robinson 19.6
Rebounds: Orlando Robinson 9.4
Assists: Isaiah Hill 3.2
Steals: Leo Colimerio 1.2
Blocks: Orlando Robinson 1.6
California
Points: Andre Kelly 16.5
Rebounds: Andre Kelly 9.7
Assists: Joel Brown 3
Steals: Jordan Shepherd 1.5
Blocks: Lars Thiemann
Coaches
Fresno State: Justin Hutson. Coach Hutson took the Fresno State job in 2018 he has a record of 51-40.
California: Mark Fox. Coach Fox took the job in 2019 after coaching for 9 seasons at Georgia.
James Q
About the Author:
James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.
