The smallest conferences only have one or two games left in their regular season. The bigger conferences have three or four regular season games remaining. March is just around the corner. I want to take a look at some specific tips for betting the late regular season in college hoops.
- Look toward overs for teams with nothing to play for- This late in the season there are going to be teams who have little to nothing to play for, and those teams are more likely to have shootouts than low scoring defensive battles. The long term angles confirm this is true. The strongest overs have been the totals set at a low number between two teams who both have a poor record. They might have had low scoring games earlier in the year, but these are very tricky spots to look for unders. Keep an eye out for the overs when these low quality teams play each other late!
- Look toward unders for teams with a bunch on the line- The opposite is true as well, though this angle has been a bit less strong than the previous one. The games that are the strongest in this situation are the matchups between two teams fighting for a regular season league title, or at least two teams who are fighting for a high seed in the conference tournament. The possessions typically slow down a bit here. There is more to play for and the defenses show up.
- Be willing to lay the points- I’m not a big fan of laying a lot of points in college basketball, but in the very late regular season it is something that must be considered. There are absolutely teams who are shutting it down and just preparing for the conference tournament. A team that was expected to be good that has had a disappointing season is perfect for a fade late in the regular season. What can they prove by playing hard in the last game or two of the regular season?
- Watch the injury report even closer- You’ll find a lot of late injury scratches late in the regular season. This is especially true in the games where the teams have little to play for and are preparing for the conference tournament. College basketball injury information is very tough to find, but this is the time of the year to look closely for beat writers and check social media regarding the status of key players.