by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 04, 2022
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 5, 2022
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: FSU -7.5, Miami-FL +7.5; Over/Under: 53 points
Bet365: Point Spread: FSU -7.5, Miami-FL +7.5; Over/Under: 53 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: FSU -7.5, Miami-FL +7.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Season Record
Florida State Seminoles: 5-3 (3-3) (5th place, ACC Atlantic)
Miami Hurricanes: 4-4 (2-2) (3rd place, ACC Coastal)
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Recent Form
Florida State Seminoles: won their last game at home against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 41-16.
Miami Hurricanes: won their last game on the road against the Virginia Cavaliers 14-12 in overtime.
Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes Preview and Analysis
FSU is entering this game with a 5-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 1-1 in their road games this year. This will also be their 7th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 3-3. They won against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in their last game at home 41-16. Jordan Travis started that game at QB and he completed 24/38 passes for 396 yards and 3 touchdowns. Trey Benson led the team in rushing with 111 yards on 18 rushing attempts. Johnny Wilson led the team in receiving with 111 yards and 1 TD on 3 receptions. Jammie Robinson led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles. Tatum Bethune and Leonard Warner each led the defense in sacks with 1.5 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 4-4 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th home game of the season as they are 2-3 in their home games this year. This will also be the 5th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 2-2. They won against the Virginia Cavaliers in their last game on the road 14-12 in OT. Jake Garcia started that game at QB and he completed 15/29 passes for 125 yards. Henry Parrish Jr. led the team in rushing with 113 yards on 24 carries. Colbie Young led the team in receiving with 46 yards on 5 receptions. Caleb Johnson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Leonard Taylor led the defense in sacks with 1.5 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Florida State vs Miami Prediction
The current betting odds have Miami listed as a 7.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Miami hasn't looked good at all in their games lately as they have been really struggling to win games in conference play and even in their last game they could only muster up a 2 point win in OT over a bad Virginia team. Miami is going to be ready for this game though with the Florida rivalry here and their coach is very aware that this is a game they cannot lose. They are at home too and they are going to bring all they have to beat this FSU team that has been very up and down this year. FSU has looked great in some of their blowout wins this season but they have looked terrible in other games as they have struggled on defense. They give up a lot of points and even though Miami hasn't been great on offense, they will score points in this game. Miami also has a better defense than FSU and it will keep the score close so they stay in this game. Miami would need a lot to happen in their favor to make it to the ACC title game this season but winning this game would mean a lot to them and they will be coming for the upset here playing with pride. The best way to place a bet here is on Miami to cover the spread in this game.
Florida State Miami Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 5, 2022 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Miami 23 FSU 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Florida State Seminoles: 22-12 ATS after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs. 15-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 18-11 UNDER after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs.
Miami Hurricanes: 1-7 ATS in all games. 1-7 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 57-33 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56.
Key Injuries
Florida State Seminoles: S. Dix Jr. (LB) out for season - Shoulder. B. Harris (OL) out for season - Arm. K. Lyles (OL) out for season - Leg.
Miami Hurricanes: T. Van Dyke (QB) Prob Sat - Upper Body. Z. Nelson (OL) Ques Sat - Knee. J. Oluwaseun (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
"You sit there, and there were so many opportunities throughout that game to really put it away earlier and to play our best. I thought there was a lot of great performances." - Mike Norvell after his team’s win against GA Tech in their last game.
“It was always a date that was circled on the calendar and everybody. It just so happened that the national title for many years actually went through Tallahassee or through Coral Gables. The intensity, the level of play, the caliber of player, was always the highest. That was then. We’re in a building stage, so I don’t get stuck in nostalgia theater with our players and make sure everything is focused on the 2022 team and doing everything we can to keep getting better and progressing.” - Mario Cristobal on his team’s upcoming game against FSU here.
Starting Lineups
Florida State Seminoles
WR Pittman, Mycah
WR Wilson, Ontaria
WR Wilson, Johnny
TE McDonald, Camren
TE Douglas, Markeston
QB Travis, Jordan
RB Ward, Treshaun
RB Toafili, Lawrance
Miami Hurricanes
WR Smith, Key'Shawn
WR Redding III, Michael
WR Smith, Brashard
TE Mallory, Will
QB Van Dyke, Tyler
RB Parrish Jr., Henry
Statistical Leaders
Florida State Seminoles
Passing: J. Travis (2057)
Rushing: T. Ward (488)
Receiving: J. Wilson (603)
Touchdowns: L. Toafili (5)
Miami Hurricanes
Passing: T. Van Dyke (1729)
Rushing: H. Parrish Jr. (542)
Receiving: W. Mallory (371)
Touchdowns: H. Parrish Jr. (6)
Coaches:
Florida State Seminoles: Mike Norvell (3rd season)
Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
