by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Sunday, Nov 14, 2021
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 14, 2021
Venue: Stephen C. O'Connell Center, Gainesville, FL
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: FSU +1, Florida -1; Over/Under: 145 points
Bet365: Point Spread: FSU +1, Florida -1; Over/Under: 145 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: FSU +1.5, Florida -1.5; Over/Under: 144.5 points
Season Record
Florida State Seminoles: 1-0 (7th place, ACC)
Florida Gators: 1-0 (10th place, SEC)
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Florida State Seminoles vs Florida Gators Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Florida State Seminoles: won at home on Nov. 10 against the Penn Quakers 105-70.
Florida Gators: won at home on Nov. 9 against the Elon Phoenix 74-61.
Florida State Seminoles Analysis
FSU is coming into this game with a 1-0 record overall and they will be playing their first road game of the season in this one. They won their season opener in their last game which was also their home opener against Penn. Malik Osborne led the team in points in that game with 18 while Anthony Polite was next on the team with 17 points. Caleb Mills and Rayquan Evans both played well in that one as well as they both scored 14 points each. Evans led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Osborne led the team in rebounds with 13. Their shooting was alright in that game as they were 49.3% from the field, 31.8% from 3-point range, and 70.6% from the free throw line. Their offense is averaging 105 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70 PPG against them. FSU has an ATS record of 1-0 this season and their O/U record is 1-0.
Florida Gators Analysis
Florida is coming into this game with a 1-0 record overall and they are 1-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They won their season opener in their last game which was also their home opener against Elon and are coming into this one off of that win. Myreon Jones went off in that game as he led the team in points with 20 while Colin Castleton was next on the team with 18 points. Tyree Appleby also played well with 14 points in that one. Castleton led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Anthony Duruji led the team in rebounds with 7. Their shooting was not the best in that game as they were 42.4% from the field, 32% from 3-point range, and 55.2% from the free throw line. Their offense is averaging 74 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 61 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 0-1 this season and their O/U record is 0-1.
Florida State vs Florida Prediction
Florida State is coming into this game as a 1 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. FSU is ranked number 20 in the nation while Florida is an unranked team. Both teams played well in their first games but Florida State had a much more balanced attack in their game. They scored over 100 points in the game and the points were coming from a lot of different players. They also have more bench depth than Florida does. The best bet to place in this game is on FSU to cover the spread here and to win the game straight up on the moneyline.
Florida State Florida Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, November 14, 2021 (1:00 pm ET start time) is FSU 79 Florida 72.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Florida State Seminoles: 73-90 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 34-38 ATS as a road favorite or pick. 126-127 ATS in road games. 112-120 ATS after one or more consecutive overs.
Florida Gators: 371-341 ATS in all games. 89-60 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 121-107 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 152-146 ATS in all home games. 50-37 ATS in November games. 140-129 ATS after a non-conference game. 147-121 ATS in non-conference games.
Key Injuries
Florida State Seminoles: T. Ngom (C) Ques Sun - Concussion.
Florida Gators: K. Johnson (F) Out indefinitely - Chest injury.
Notable Quotes
"We needed for him to perform well. We've been practicing him at the power forward all year. He has not played the 5 position (center) very much at all. He just moved over and adjusted and gave us a big-time game." - Leonard Hamilton on the performance of Malik Osborne in their first game of the season.
“One of our best players throughout the course of this summer and fall. He’s been banged up a little bit. We didn’t even know he was gonna play until an hour before the game. So it was nice to see him get going and play a game and not hamper what he had going on.” - Michael White on winning their first game of the season.
Starting Lineups
Florida State Seminoles
R. Evans
C. Mills
M. Osborne
A. Polite
W. Wilke
Florida Gators
T. Appleby
C. Castleton
A. Duruji
M. Jones
B. McKissic
Statistical Leaders
Florida State Seminoles
PPG: M. Osborne (18)
APG: R. Evans (5)
Reb/G: M. Osborne (13)
Florida Gators
PPG: C. Castleton (18)
APG: C. Castleton (4)
Reb/G: A. Duruji (7)
Coaches:
Florida State Seminoles: Leonard Hamilton (20th season)
Florida Gators: Michael White (7th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
