Florida State Seminoles vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/19/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Feb 18, 2022
Game Time: 6:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 19, 2022
Venue:  Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC 
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  FSU +15, Duke -15; Over/Under:  142.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  FSU +15.5, Duke -15.5; Over/Under:  142.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  FSU +15.5, Duke -15.5; Over/Under:  142.5 points
 

Season Record

Florida State Seminoles:  14-11 (9th place, ACC)
Duke Blue Devils:  22-4 (1st place, ACC)
 
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Florida State Seminoles vs Duke Blue Devils Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Florida State Seminoles:  1-4 last 5
Duke Blue Devils:  4-1 last 5
 
 
 

Florida State Seminoles Analysis

FSU is coming into this game with a 14-11 record overall and they are 3-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 16th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 7-8 in their conference games this season. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 6 game losing streak that they were on. Their 6 losses in that span were against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, the Virginia Tech Hokies, the Clemson Tigers, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, the Pittsburgh Panthers, and the North Carolina Tar Heels while their win came against the Clemson Tigers in their last game. Rayquan Evans led the team in points in that game with 28 while Cam'Ron Fletcher was next on the team off the bench with 17 points. Evans and Jalen Warley both led the team in assists in that game with 4 each while Fletcher led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 43.6% from the field, 42.1% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 71.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.6 PPG against them. FSU has an ATS record of 8-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 13-12.
 
 

Duke Blue Devils Analysis

Duke is coming into this game with a 22-4 record overall and they are 14-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 16th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 12-3 in their conference games this season. They have won 8 of their last 9 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Virginia Cavaliers while their 3 wins since then came against the Clemson Tigers, the Boston College Eagles, and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons in their last game. Wendell Moore and Mark Williams both led the team in points in that game with 16 each while Paolo Banchero was next on the team with 13 points. Banchero led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Mark Williams led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 42.6% from the field, 34.8% from 3-point range, and 84.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.1 PPG against them. Duke has an ATS record of 14-10-2 this season and their O/U record is 12-13-1.
 

 

Florida State vs Duke Prediction

FSU has not been playing well recently but they are finally coming off of a win in their last game which snapped an awful losing streak they were on. They have not been good against conference opponents this season with a 7-8 record and they have not been good on the road either with a 3-6 record. They also beat Duke at home by 1 point earlier this season so Duke will be out for their revenge in this game. FSU has fallen off a lot since that win and their season really took a 180 after that as they went on to lose a majority of their games after. Duke has been great all season with a 14-2 record at home and they are 12-3 against conference opponents. They have won 3 straight games and they will surely remember that loss to FSU earlier in the season as they only have 4 losses all year. Duke will come out hard here at home and they will try to bury FSU quickly which should not be hard for them with the way FSU has been playing recently. Duke should get their revenge here no problem and win this game by double digits.
 
Florida State Duke Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 19, 2022 (6:00 pm ET start time) is Duke 82 FSU 66.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Florida State Seminoles: 8-17 ATS in all games. 49-33 OVER in all games. 18-11 OVER in road games.
Duke Blue Devils: 7-1 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders. 50-30 OVER in all games. 30-15 OVER as a home favorite or pick.
 

Key Injuries

 
Florida State Seminoles:  C. Mills (G) Ques Sat - Ankle injury. A. Polite (G) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. N. McLeod (C) Early April - Finger injury. M. Osborne (F) out for season - Ankle injury.
Duke Blue Devils:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"For whatever reason, we were a half-a-step slow. I felt that they ran a little faster, the jumped a little harder, they moved a little quicker and moved the ball a little better. I basically think that they played harder than us and that is concerning.” - Leonard Hamilton on his team’s effort in games this season.
 
 
"He was still in the building and we got to see him for a few minutes. He was happy, but he needs to take care of himself right now and go from there." - Jon Scheyer on Coach K after their win against Wake Forest.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Florida State Seminoles
J. Butler 
R. Evans 
C. Mills 
Malik Osborne 
A. Polite 
 
Duke Blue Devils
P. Banchero 
T. Keels 
W. Moore 
J. Roach 
M. Williams
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Florida State Seminoles
PPG: C. Mills (12.7)
APG: R. Evans (2.9)
Reb/G: M. Osborne (6.9)
 
Duke Blue Devils
PPG: P. Banchero (16.9)
APG: W. Moore Jr. (4.5)
RPG: P. Banchero (8.5)
 
Coaches:
Florida State Seminoles: Leonard Hamilton (20th season)
Duke Blue Devils: Mike Krzyzewski (42nd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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