Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/07/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, May 7, 2025

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Panthers -135, Leafs +114; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Panthers -135, Leafs +115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Panthers -130, Leafs +110; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Florida Panthers:  47-31-4 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  52-26-4 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

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Florida Panthers:  6-4-0 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  8-1-1 last 10

The Panthers are entering the playoffs with 98 points, a 47-31-4 record overall, and they were 20-19-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Toronto Maple Leafs in their last game, losing that one on the road 5-4. Uvis Balinskis, Sam Bennett, Seth Jones, and Eetu Luostarinen each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Brad Marchand and Carter Verhaeghe each led the team in assists with 2 while Sam Bennett led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Sergei Bobrovsky was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 30 shots with 25 saves and a .833 save percentage. Their offense has scored 252 goals this season averaging 3.1 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 223 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering the playoffs with 108 points, a 52-26-4 record overall, and they were 27-13-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Florida Panthers in their last game, winning that one at home 5-4. William Nylander led the team in goals scored with 2 while Matthew Knies, Christopher Tanev, and Morgan Rielly each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Jake McCabe and Max Pacioretty each led the team in assists with 2 while Auston Matthews led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Anthony Stolarz was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 9 shots with 8 saves and a .889 sv percentage before leaving the game injured and being replaced by Joseph Woll who allowed 3 goals on 20 shots with 17 saves and a .850 save percentage. Their offense has scored 268 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 231 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Panthers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Maple Leafs and the 3rd seeded Panthers from the Atlantic Division for the 2nd round of the NHL Eastern Conference playoffs. The Maple Leafs are leading the series 1-0 after winning game 1 at home. The Maple Leafs took a 1-0 series lead with a 5-4 win over the Panthers in the 1st game and that was a blowout game that the Panthers made a lot closer in the end. The Panthers got down by multiple goals early in that one and were even trailing 4-1 going into the 3rd period, but they fought back in the 3rd period with 3 goals scored and made that a much tighter game. A lot of that was due to Stolarz leaving injured as he was great when he was in net, making it very tough for the Panthers to score, and everything started to open up once he was out. That could be a lingering problem for the Maple Leafs in this game and Woll looked very shaky when he had to come into that game. The Panthers didn't play their best game from the start, but they are still the defending Stanley Cup champions and they know they need to steal a road game to get out of this series. They gained some momentum in that 3rd period that they can use in this game, and they will come out with a better effort from the start of this game. Look for the Panthers to bounce back in this one and even up the series going back home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Panthers to win this game.  

Panthers Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, May 7, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Panthers 3 Leafs 2.

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Florida Panthers: 141-87 (-6.9 units) on the moneyline as a favorite. 63-58 (-17.5 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 135-106 (-11.2 units) on the moneyline against excellent power play teams- scoring on over 17.5% of their chances. 8-4 UNDER in the second round of the playoffs.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 33-26 (+14.4 units) on the moneyline as an underdog. 75-55 (+13.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 12-10 (+4 units) on the moneyline against good defensive teams - opponents average 26.5 shots on goal or less. 5-1 UNDER in the second round of the playoffs. 

Florida Panthers:  None.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  A. Stolarz (G) Day To Day - Upper Body. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out - Knee.

“It was the perfect storm of that’s not the way you want to start when everyone has lots of energy and jump, but there’s some tension to it always at the start. So when you’re behind one, that’s our first period. We didn’t look like ourselves. We righted it in the second and had a pretty good push in the third.” - Paul Maurice after his team’s loss against the Maple Leafs in game 1 of this series on Monday.

“It’s a tough situation, for sure, especially in a playoff game with this magnitude. He handled it well, I thought, and listen, we got the win.” - Craig Berube on Joseph Woll after his team’s win against the Panthers in game 1 of this series on Monday.

LW Carter Verhaeghe

C Aleksander Barkov

RW Sam Reinhart

LD Gustav Forsling

RD Seth Jones

G Sergei Bobrovsky

LW Matthew Knies

C Auston Matthews

RW Mitchell Marner

LD Jake McCabe

RD Christopher Tanev

G Anthony Stolarz

Points: S. Reinhart (81)

Goals: S. Reinhart (39)

Assists: A. Barkov (51)

GAA: S. Bobrovsky (2.44)

Points: M. Marner (102)

Goals: W. Nylander (45)

Assists: M. Marner (75)

GAA: A. Stolarz (2.14)

Coaches:

Florida Panthers: Paul Maurice (3rd season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (1st season)