Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/13/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 13, 2025

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Panthers -105, Leafs -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Panthers -105, Leafs -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Panthers -105, Leafs -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Florida Panthers:  40-22-3 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  39-22-3 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

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Florida Panthers:  8-2-0 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  6-3-1 last 10

The Panthers are entering this game with 83 points, a 40-22-3 record overall, and they are 18-12-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Boston Bruins in their last game, losing that one on the road 3-2. Dmitry Kulikov and Mackie Samoskevich each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Sam Bennett led the team in assists with 2 while Mackie Samoskevich and Aleksander Barkov each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Sergei Bobrovsky was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 25 shots with 22 saves and a .880 save percentage. Their offense has scored 215 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 175 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 81 points, a 39-22-3 record overall, and they are 20-11-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Utah Hockey Club in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-3 in a shootout. Simon Benoit, Calle Järnkrok, and William Nylander each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Max Domi, Pontus Holmberg, David Kämpf, Matthew Knies, Mitchell Marner, and Morgan Rielly each led the team in assists with 1 while Auston Matthews led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Joseph Woll was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 33 shots with 30 saves and a .909 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 206 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 190 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Panthers listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Panthers have looked really good in their games this season with their 40-22-3 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They have also been a good road team this year with their 18-12-1 road record. Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs have looked really good in their games this season with their 39-22-3 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They have looked good on home ice too with their 20-11-1 home record this season. They are coming off a win over Utah in their last one and they have looked good lately as they are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games, but they were really hot going into their road trip and struggled a lot in those last few games. Even in their win over Utah, they had a multiple goal lead which they blew and needed a shootout to come out of there with a win. The Panthers have also been a really hot team lately and this is the kind of game they are going to bring their best effort for with the Maple Leafs just 2 points behind in the standings. The Panthers are 8-2-0 in their last 10 games, but they are also coming off a 3-2 loss to the Bruins in their last one so they are going to be looking to bounce back in a big way. The Leafs have been starting to cool off lately and the Panthers can take advantage of that in a game they will be looking for a bounce back win in. The best way to place a bet here is on the Panthers to win this game. 

Panthers Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, March 13, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Panthers 3 Leafs 2.

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Florida Panthers: 36-20 (+8.7 units) on the moneyline off a road loss. 43-29 (+11.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 103-78 (+8.7 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 32-22 OVER off a road loss.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 70-51 (-16.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 55-45 (-15.7 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 80-69 (-9.5 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 23-14 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 

Florida Panthers:  J. Gadjovich (LW) Day To Day - Personal. B. Marchand (LW) Out - Upper Body. M. Tkachuk (LW) Out - Groin.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  C. Tanev (D) Day To Day - Upper-body. M. Pacioretty (LW) Out - Undisclosed. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out - Knee.

“I think [Boston] played us as hard as the last two or three teams that we played. There are a bunch of teams who are four or five points out, and they’re all right there fighting.” - Paul Maurice after his team’s loss against the Bruins in their game on Tuesday.

“We got off to a great start. Our first period was really good. [We] made a couple of mistakes in the second. Right now, we're fighting through some adversity and the guys came through in the third, did a good job and ended up winning the shootout.” - Craig Berube after his team’s win against Utah in their game on Monday.

LW Carter Verhaeghe

C Aleksander Barkov

RW Sam Reinhart

LD Gustav Forsling

RD Seth Jones

G Sergei Bobrovsky

LW Matthew Knies

C Auston Matthews

RW Mitchell Marner

LD Morgan Rielly

RD Brandon Carlo

G Joseph Woll

Points: S. Reinhart (68)

Goals: S. Reinhart (32)

Assists: A. Barkov (43)

GAA: S. Bobrovsky (2.51)

Points: M. Marner (80)

Goals: W. Nylander (36)

Assists: M. Marner (59)

GAA: A. Stolarz (2.33)

Coaches:

Florida Panthers: Paul Maurice (3rd season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (1st season)