Florida International Panthers vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/04/2023

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, October 4, 2023

Venue:  Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM

Where to Watch:  CBS Sports

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  FIU +5.5, NM State -5.5; Over/Under:  51 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  FIU +4.5, NM State -4.5; Over/Under:  51 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  FIU +5.5, NM State -5.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Florida International Panthers:  3-2 (0-2) (5th place, C-USA)

New Mexico State Aggies:  2-3 (0-1) (6th place, C-USA)

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Florida International Panthers:  lost their last game at home against the Liberty Flames 38-6.

New Mexico State Aggies:  lost their last game on the road against the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 20-17.

Florida International is entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Liberty 38-6. Keyone Jenkins was the starting QB and he completed 9/21 passes for 133 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kejon Owens led the team in rushing yards with 42. Chris Mitchell led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Hezekiah Masses led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. CJ Christian came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

New Mexico State is entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Hawaii 20-17. Diego Pavia was the starting QB and he completed 9/15 passes for 155 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Diego Pavia led the team in rushing yards with 97. Jordin Parker led the receivers with 42 receiving yards on 1 reception. Jeremiah Dervil led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Sone Aupiu, Izaiah Reed, and Jordan Vincent each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Florida International listed as a 5.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. FIU is 3-2 this season and they have been finding ways to win close games all year. They just got smoked by Liberty in their last game which was also at home and they are now 0-2 in conference play but haven't been playing that bad so they are going to be looking for a bounce back win here. New Mexico State doesn't have a great team this year as they are only 2-3 this season and they are 0-1 in conference games with this being their 1st year in the conference. They have struggled to put points up on offense and now they are also dealing with some issues with their starting QB after a video came out with him in it. There are too many distractions going on off the field with this New Mexico State team and they don't have the same talent on the team as last year that brought them to a bowl game. FIU is a really sneaky team in these conference games and they are going to bring their best effort here after the way they were embarrassed last week. The best way to place a bet here is on FIU to cover the spread in this game.

Florida International New Mexico State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Wednesday, October 4, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is FIU 20 NMSU 13.

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Florida International Panthers: 10-18 ATS in all games. 17-28 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders. 6-12 ATS against conference opponents. 8-4 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 8-4 OVER after a loss by 21 or more points.

New Mexico State Aggies: 10-3 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 11-3 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 13-5 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 7-1 OVER as a home favorite. 8-4 OVER off 3 or more consecutive unders. 9-3 OVER off a road loss.

Florida International Panthers:  J. Peace (OL) Ques Wed - Undisclosed. L. Joseph (RB) out for season - Knee.

New Mexico State Aggies:  None.

“We have improved, that shows us we’ve got a lot more to do.” - Mike MacIntyre after his team’s loss against Liberty in their last game. 

“You have high expectations for all your players. Again, we’re disappointed in his actions, disappointed in what happened, but, again, it will be handled internally and then we’ll move forward. Obviously, you know, we’re disappointed in what happened, but that’s one of those things where we’ll deal with him and deal with it internally and move on.” - Tim Beck on the video of Diego Pavia peeing on the New Mexico Lobos logo.

WR Mitchell, Kris

WR Patterson, Dean 

WR Bracey, Jalen 

TE McDonald, Jackson 

QB Jenkins, Keyone  

RB Lawrence, Shomari

WR Bellamy, Chris  

WR David, Kordell 

WR Brady, Jonathan 

TE Whitford, Thomaz 

QB Pavia, Diego 

RB Thomas, Star 

Passing: K. Jenkins (1000)

Rushing: S. Lawrence (312)

Receiving: K. Mitchell (459)

Touchdowns: K. Mitchell (4)

Passing: D. Pavia (1073)

Rushing: D. Pavia (270)

Receiving: J. Brady (252)

Touchdowns: S. Thomas (4)

Coaches:

Florida International Panthers: Mike MacIntyre (2nd season)

New Mexico State Aggies: Jerry Kill (2nd season)