by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 14, 2022
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 19, 2022
Venue: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Florida -15, Vandy +15; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Florida -14.5, Vandy +14.5; Over/Under: 57.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Florida -14.5, Vandy +14.5; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Season Record
Florida Gators: 6-4 (3-4) (3rd place, SEC East)
Vanderbilt Commodores: 4-6 (1-5) (7th place, SEC East)
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Florida Gators: won their last game at home against the South Carolina Gamecocks 38-6.
Vanderbilt Commodores: won their last game on the road against the Kentucky Wildcats 24-21.
Florida Gators vs Vanderbilt Commodores Preview and Analysis
Florida is entering this game with a 6-4 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 1-1 in their road games this year. This will also be their 8th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 3-4. They won against the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game at home 38-6. Anthony Richardson started that game at QB and he completed 11/23 passes for 112 yards and 2 touchdowns. Montrell Johnson led the team in rushing with 161 yards and 1 TD on 24 rushing attempts while Trevor Etienne also had 100 rushing yards and 1 TD on 8 carries. Caleb Douglas led the team in receiving with 53 yards on 3 receptions. Ventrell Miller led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Derek Wingo and Antwaun Powell each led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 4-6 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th home game of the season as they are 1-3 in their home games this year. This will also be the 7th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 1-5. They won against the Kentucky Wildcats in their last game on the road 24-21. Mike Wright started that game at QB and he completed 12/23 passes for 184 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Re'Mahn Davis led the team in rushing with 129 yards and 1 TD on 26 carries while Mike Wright also had 126 rushing yards and 1 TD on 11 carries. Will Sheppard led the team in receiving with 88 yards and 1 TD on 5 receptions. Max Worship led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Cordell Taylor, Christian James, and Michael Owusu each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Cordell Taylor came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Florida vs Vanderbilt Prediction
The current betting odds have Florida listed as a 15 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida has been starting to roll over teams in their games lately. They are in no position to go to the SEC Championship this season but they have been getting a lot of big wins in their last few games and are clearly laying out the ground work for Napier's 2nd season next year. They are going to continue to finish out this season strong as things are finally falling into place for them and their opponent here hasn't been very good this year either. Vanderbilt is in last place in their SEC division with a 4-6 record and only 1 win in the conference. They just got their 1st conference win last week which snapped a very long losing streak in the SEC for them, but they are playing a much better team now that has been improving as the season nears an end and they will have a much tougher time keeping up in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida to cover the spread in this game.
Florida Vanderbilt Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 19, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Florida 42 Vanderbilt 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Florida Gators: 8-18 ATS as a favorite. 1-8 ATS as a road favorite. 5-1 OVER in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63.
Vanderbilt Commodores: 21-13 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 9-2 OVER as a home underdog of 14.5 to 17 points. 11-5 OVER in home games.
Key Injuries
Florida Gators: J. Shorter (WR) day-to-day - Hamstring. J. Fraziars (WR) day-to-day - Shoulder. D. Moore (CB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Vanderbilt Commodores: C. Gillespie (RB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. A. Swann (QB) day-to-day - Lower Body. D. Walker (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
"I haven't really thought about it. After the Georgia loss, we're just trying to get the team rolling again and get back on track. I haven't really thought about that. I'm just trying to win every game and go win the bowl game." - Anthony Richardson after their win against South Carolina in their last game.
"You got a bunch of guys that are fighting. We're building a program, and building a program's hard. It takes people that are aligned, doing the right things the right way. And that's what these guys are doing. I'm glad they got rewarded today." - Clark Lea after his team’s win against Kentucky in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Florida Gators
WR Henderson, Xzavier
WR Shorter, Justin
WR Pearsall, Ricky
TE Zanders, Dante
QB Richardson, Anthony
RB Johnson Jr., Montrell
Vanderbilt Commodores
WR Sheppard, Will
WR Skinner Jr., Quincy
WR McGowan, Jayden
TE Bresnahan, Ben
TE Schoenwald, Gavin
QB Wright, Mike
RB Davis, Ray
Statistical Leaders
Florida Gators
Passing: A. Richardson (1951)
Rushing: M. Johnson Jr. (710)
Receiving: J. Shorter (471)
Touchdowns: M. Johnson Jr. (9)
Vanderbilt Commodores
Passing: A. Swann (1195)
Rushing: R. Davis (860)
Receiving: W. Sheppard (708)
Touchdowns: W. Sheppard (9)
Coaches:
Florida Gators: Billy Napier (1st season)
Vanderbilt Commodores: Clark Lea (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
