Florida Gators vs UConn Huskies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/09/2025

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, December 9, 2025

Venue:  Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Florida +4.5, UConn -4.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Florida +4.5, UConn -4.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Florida +4.5, UConn -4.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

Florida Gators:  5-3 (0-0) (13th place, SEC)

UConn Huskies:  8-1 (0-0) (2nd place, Big East)

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Florida Gators:  3-2  last 5

UConn Huskies:  4-1  last 5

Florida is entering this game with a 5-3 record overall, a 0-0 record in conference games, and they are 2-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Duke Blue Devils in their last game. Thomas Haugh led the team in points in that game with 24 while Boogie Fland was next on the team with 16. Urban Klavzar led the team in assists with 2 in that game while Rueben Chinyelu led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 37.3% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.9 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 2-6 this season and their O/U record is 2-6.

UConn is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall, a 0-0 conference record, and they are 2-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the East Texas A&M-Commerce Lions in their last game. Solo Ball led the team in points in that game with 14 while Eric Reibe was next on the team with 13. Silas Demary Jr. led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Jaylin Stewart led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 52.3% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 80.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 60.4 PPG against them. UConn has an ATS record of 3-6 this season and their O/U record is 3-6.

The current betting odds have UConn listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UConn has looked great in their games this season with their 8-1 record overall which has them right near the top of the Big East. They are also 2-0 in their neutral site games and are currently ranked inside the top 10 teams in the nation. Meanwhile, Florida has looked good in their games this season with their 5-3 record overall, but that record has them a lot lower in the SEC with a bad start to the season. They haven't looked great in these neutral site games either, going 2-2 in those this season, and this game is more of a road game for them with UConn getting more of a home advantage at MSG. UConn has already picked up some impressive wins this season too, and they have been rolling over a lot of teams while not being fully healthy. Now they are getting healthy and will be even tougher to beat with how good they have looked so far. Florida is off a tight loss to Duke by 1 point in their last one, but they have struggled a lot this year in these big games against other ranked opponents. This isn't the same team that won the National Championship last year either so this Florida team still has a lot to prove in this new season. UConn has been rolling lately and with the way Florida has looked in these big games this year, they aren't going to be able to slow down UConn in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on UConn to cover the spread in this game. 

Florida UConn Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, December 9, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is UConn 85 Florida 75.

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Florida Gators: 27-12 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 14-6 ATS after playing a road game. 21-8 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 6-2 UNDER in all games. 4-1 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 turnovers/game or less.

UConn Huskies: 3-6 ATS in all games. 3-6 ATS as a favorite. 3-6 ATS in non-conference games. 0-3 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 14-7 UNDER as a neutral court favorite or pick. 26-12 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).

Florida Gators:  None.

UConn Huskies:  T. Reed (C) Questionable - Ankle.

“I feel like a lot of positives. By far our best effort of the year. We competed the best we have all year tonight, and I thought we stayed together really well. Obviously a really tough venue to play in. They got on top of us a little bit at the end of the first half, and our guys stayed the course, they stayed together, they were resilient. Thought we played an incredible second half to outscore them by 11 on their home floor and take the lead late.” - Todd Golden after his team’s loss against Duke in their last game. 

“The reason why we won back-to-back championships was because we had a defense that could sustain us on nights when our offense was up against another great defense. You can’t do this without an elite-level defense, top-five defense, a top-10 defense. You’re not winning anything.” - Dan Hurley on his team’s defense this season.

R. Chinyelu 

A. Condon 

B. Fland 

T. Haugh 

X. Lee

S. Ball 

S. Demary 

A. Karaban 

E. Reibe 

J. Stewart

PPG: Thomas Haugh (18.6)

APG: Xaivian Lee (3.6)

Reb/G: Rueben Chinyelu (11.3)

PPG: Tarris Reed Jr. (15.5)

APG: Silas Demary Jr. (5.6)

Reb/G: Tarris Reed Jr. (8.3)

Coaches:

Florida Gators: Todd Golden (4th season)

UConn Huskies: Dan Hurley (8th season)