Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/25/2026

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Venue:  Moody Center, Austin, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Florida -6.5, Texas +6.5; Over/Under:  159.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Florida -6.5, Texas +6.5; Over/Under:  159.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Florida -6.5, Texas +6.5; Over/Under:  159.5 points

Florida Gators:  21-6 (12-2) (1st place, SEC)

Texas Longhorns:  17-10 (8-6) (6th place, SEC)

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Florida Gators:  5-0  last 5

Texas Longhorns:  4-1  last 5

Florida is entering this game with a 21-6 record overall, a 12-2 record in conference games, and they are 6-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Ole Miss Rebels in their last game. Alex Condon led the team in points in that game with 24 while Thomas Haugh was next on the team with 20. Xaivian Lee led the team in assists with 10 in that game while Thomas Haugh led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 57.1% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 86.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 86.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.2 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 13-14 this season and their O/U record is 10-16-1.

Texas is entering this game with a 17-10 record overall, an 8-6 conference record, and they are 12-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Georgia Bulldogs in their last game. Matas Vokietaitis led the team in points in that game with 22 while Dailyn Swain was next on the team with 21. Chendall Weaver led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Dailyn Swain led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 57.1% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 75.4 PPG against them. Texas has an ATS record of 15-11 this season and their O/U record is 17-9.

The current betting odds have Florida listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida has looked great in their games this season with their 21-6 record overall and their 12-2 conference record which has them right at the top of the SEC. They have been a great road team too with their 6-2 road record this year. Meanwhile, Texas has looked good in their games this season with their 17-10 record overall and their 8-6 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have also looked great on their home court with their 12-3 home record this season. Texas has been rolling in their games lately as they are 4-1 in their last 5 games, but they are off a bad double digit loss to Georgia in their last one. They were trailing for most of that game and even though they have looked a lot better at home, they have still been beating up on the teams near the bottom of the conference. They had some early success against stronger opponents, but lately they have struggled more against top teams in the SEC, and now they have to face the best team. Florida is the defending National Champion from last season and even though they didn't have the best start to the season, they have figured things out now and have been rolling in their own conference. They have a ton of momentum on their side with 7 wins in a row now and they have been rolling over most of their opponents lately by double digits. Texas had a nice little run, but they don't have the talent to be a top team in the SEC this year and now that they are off that loss to Georgia, they will start taking a step back now as the schedule toughens up in these last few games. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida to cover the spread in this game. 

Florida Texas Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, February 25, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Florida 81 Texas 69.

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Florida Gators: 18-10 ATS in road games. 11-3 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 35-15 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 25-17 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 25-15 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.

Texas Longhorns: 9-17 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs. 10-16 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 3-10 ATS at home when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 29-19 OVER in all home games. 26-13 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).

Florida Gators:  None.

Texas Longhorns:  L. Traore (F) Questionable - Undisclosed.

"Just another great road win for our team. I feel like we've done a good job this year of being ready to compete on the road and doing a really good job, being consistent that way. Overall, our first-shot defense was really good today, limited them to 41% from the field.” - Todd Golden after his team’s win against Ole Miss in their last game. 

"We're a high-volume free-throw attempt team. And we've gotten to the point where we're a good free-throw shooting team. That's a big part of it. If you get fouled, going to the free throw line and converting." - Sean Miller on his team’s offense this season. 

R. Chinyelu 

A. Condon 

B. Fland 

T. Haugh 

X. Lee

C. Heide 

T. Mark 

J. Pope 

D. Swain 

M. Vokietaitis

PPG: Thomas Haugh (17.3)

APG: Xaivian Lee (3.9)

Reb/G: Rueben Chinyelu (11.8)

PPG: Dailyn Swain (17.9)

APG: Dailyn Swain (3.3)

Reb/G: Dailyn Swain (7.3)

Coaches:

Florida Gators: Todd Golden (4th season)

Texas Longhorns: Sean Miller (1st season)