by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jan 15, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 16, 2024
Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena, Knoxville, TN
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Florida +10, Tennessee -10; Over/Under: 160.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Florida +10, Tennessee -10; Over/Under: 160.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Florida +10, Tennessee -10; Over/Under: 160.5 points
Season Record
Florida Gators: 11-5 (1-2) (10th place, SEC)
Tennessee Volunteers: 12-4 (2-1) (6th place, SEC)
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Recent Form
Florida Gators: 3-2 last 5
Tennessee Volunteers: 4-1 last 5
Florida Gators vs Tennessee Volunteers Preview and Analysis
Florida is entering this game with an 11-5 record overall, a 1-2 record in conference games, and they are 0-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Arkansas Razorbacks in their last game. Riley Kugel led the team in points per game in that game with 20 while Tyrese Samuel was next on the team with 17. Zyon Pullin led the team in assists with 8 in that game while Tyrese Samuel led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 49.3% from the field, 36% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 86.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 76 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 6-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 11-4-1.
Tennessee is entering this game with a 12-4 record overall, a 2-1 conference record, and they are 8-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Georgia Bulldogs in their last game. Dalton Knecht led the team in points in that game with 36 while Zakai Zeigler was next on the team with 18. Zakai Zeigler led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Jonas Aidoo led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 47.5% from the field, 34.6% from 3-point range, and 78.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66 PPG against them. Tennessee has an ATS record of 6-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 10-6.
Florida vs Tennessee Prediction
The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked really good in their games this season with their 12-4 record overall which has them ranked as one of the best teams in the country. They are 2-1 in their conference games this season and they have looked even better on their home court with their 8-0 home record this year. Meanwhile, Florida has also looked good in their games this season with their 11-5 record overall but a lot of their success has come in their non-conference games. They are only 1-2 in their conference games this season and they are 0-2 in their road games too. They just blew out Arkansas in their last game at home but they have been a very different team in their few road games this season and now they have to play in a very tough environment against one of the best teams in the country. Tennessee has been on a roll lately and all of their losses this season have been against ranked teams or teams that have been very strong to start the season. Tennessee has the talent to blow Florida out here and they also have the talent on the defensive end to hold their lead and extend it throughout the game. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game.
Florida Tennessee Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, January 16, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 77 Florida 62.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Florida Gators: 8-14 ATS as an underdog. 7-12 ATS after a win by 15 points or more. 12-4 OVER in all games. 6-2 OVER when the total is 150 to 159.5. 11-3 OVER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more.
Tennessee Volunteers: 24-16 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 10-5 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 6-2 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 6-1 OVER after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better.
Key Injuries
Florida Gators: A. Szymczyk (F) Late Jan - Foot.
Tennessee Volunteers: None.
Notable Quotes
"I told you guys he would play well." - Todd Golden on Riley Kugel after his team’s win against Arkansas in their last game on Saturday.
“You can just tell he’s got a little bounce about him. He likes the moment. He does.” - Rick Barnes on Dalton Knecht after his team’s win against Georgia in their last game on Saturday.
Starting Lineups
Florida Gators
W. Clayton
M. Handlogten
R. Kugel
W. Richard
T. Samuel
Tennessee Volunteers
J. Aidoo
J. James
D. Knecht
S. Vescovi
Z. Zeigler
Statistical Leaders
Florida Gators
PPG: W. Clayton Jr (15.9)
APG: Z. Pullin (5)
Reb/G: T. Samuel (8.4)
Tennessee Volunteers
PPG: D. Knecht (17.2)
APG: Z. Zeigler (5.1)
Reb/G: J. Aidoo (7.4)
Coaches:
Florida Gators: Todd Golden (2nd season)
Tennessee Volunteers: Rick Barnes (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
