Florida Gators vs South Florida Bulls Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/11/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 11, 2021
Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Where to Watch:  ABC, ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Gators -28, Bulls +28; Over/Under:  58 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Gators -28, Bulls +28; Over/Under:  58 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Gators -28, Bulls +28; Over/Under:  58 points

Season Record

Florida Gators:  1-0 (4th place, SEC East)
South Florida Bulls:  0-1 (11th place, AAC)
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Florida Gators vs USF Bulls College Football Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Florida Gators:  won 1
South Florida Bulls:  lost 1

Offensive Analysis

Last season the Gators averaged a 67.9% completion percentage, 378.6 passing yards, and 3.8 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 131.3 rushing yards and 1 touchdown per game on the ground. The Bulls were averaging a 59.7% completion percentage, 216.6 passing yards, and 1.3 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 148.8 rushing yards and 1.2 touchdowns per game on the ground.

Defensive Analysis

Last season the Gators were allowing teams a 64.1 % completion percentage, 257.5 passing yards, and 2.3 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 170.5 rushing yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game on the ground. The Bulls were allowing teams a 60.7% completion percentage, 229.1 passing yards, and 2.3 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 212.3 rushing yards and 2.2 touchdowns per game on the ground.


Gators vs Bulls Prediction

The Florida Gators football team is coming into this matchup sitting in 4th place in the SEC East with a 1-0 record. They won their season opener of the college football season schedule against their Florida Atlantic opponents 35-14. They will be playing this NCAA football season with the FBS playoffs on their mind trying to climb the AP poll. The Gators have a pretty good bowl record in the football bowl subdivision but they will be looking to play in some major bowls this season. Emory Jones had an alright game completing 17/27 passes for 113 yards, 1 touchdown and a pair of interceptions. Anthony Richardson led the team in rushing with 160 yards and 1 touchdown to cap off his 7 carries. Malik Davis also had a great game in the running game with 104 yards and 1 touchdown on 14 carries. Dameon Pierce also found the end zone twice on the ground. None of the receivers really stood out in this one with Ja'Markis Weston leading the receivers with 44 yards on 3 receptions. Rick Wells caught 5 passes for 36 yards and a touchdown. Zachary Carter had a great game on defense as he led the team with 3 solo tackles, 1 assisted tackle, and 3 sacks. Two other players also recorded a sack in the game and another half of one so the defense really came to play and rushed the QB well. They will want to take advantage against this weak team as afterward they have home games to Alabama Crimson Tide and Tennessee, then they play Kentucky, LSU, Vanderbilt, and Missouri.

The South Florida Bulls football team are sitting in 11th place of the American Athletic Conference in the National Collegiate Athletic Association with a 0-1 record overall. They were crushed in their first game of the college football schedule on Thursday night  to the NC State Wolfpack 45-0. They have a long way to go if they are looking to dethrone Cincinnati. Cade Fortin did not have a good game as the starter completing 7/20 passes for 41 yards and 1 interception. Timmy McClain did not play well either completing 7/13 passes for 126 yards and 2 interceptions. Jaren Mangham led the rushing game with 26 yards on 5 carries, absolutely awful. Xavier Weaver caught 2 passes for 73 yards, not a single other receiver got over 50 yards receiving in that one for the USF Bulls football team. Daquan Evans led the defense with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones while Antonio Grier Jr was the only player to record a sack and Matthew Hill with an interception.

South Florida was destroyed in their last game and the Gators are a much better team and will be tougher opponents than North Carolina State. They did not even score a single point and now they face a Gators team that has the college football playoff on their minds. The bookmakers have the spread pretty large in this one but the Gators have a really good defense, offense, and special teams so they will likely drown the Bulls and cover that spread so it is worth it to take a stab at that line.

Gators Bulls Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, Sep 11, 2021 (1:00 pm ET start local time) is Gators 45 Bulls 10.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Florida Gators South Florida Bulls prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends

Florida Gators: 12-4 ATS after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game.  5-1 ATS after gaining 350 or more rushing yards last game.
South Florida Bulls: 5-1 ATS after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game. 6-1 ATS after allowing 42 points or more last game. 5-1 ATS after a loss by 28 or more points. 8-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.

Key Injuries

Florida Gators:  J. Hill (CB) out for season - Knee injury.
South Florida Bulls:  W. Jones II (S) out for season - Knee injury. K. Powell (RB) out for season - Knee injury. C. Helms (WR) Late Oct - Foot injury.

Players to Watch

Florida Gators: Anthony Richardson is one player to watch in this game. He played great in the last game putting up some big stats. He ran for over 150 rushing yards and he will be looking to continue that hot streak into the next Florida Gators game. His great play highlights how many talented and explosive players there are on this team.
South Florida Bulls: Quarterback Cade Fortin is one player to watch in this South Florida Bulls game as he will need to step up his game if his team wants to win here at home in front of all the fans. The University of South Florida Bulls football team could not muster up any points in their last game and will need some supervision moving forward as they will be facing some pretty athletic teams in this schedule.

Notable Quotes

"He's exciting with the ball in his hands, isn't he? He's going to be a great player for us. I think you saw that tonight. His athleticism. He's a special guy with the ball in his hands." - Head coach Dan Mullen on Richardson’s performance at wide receiver in the game.
"It just never really felt like we could get in rhythm. That was disappointing because I felt like we were going to play a lot better than that." - Head coach Jeff Scott after their scoreless loss to NC State.

Starting Lineups

Florida Gators
WR Copeland, Jacob 
WR Shorter, Justin 
WR Whittemore, Trent 
TE Gamble, Kemore 
QB Jones, Emory 
RB Pierce, Dameon 
South Florida Bulls
WR Weaver, Xavier 
WR Williams, Latrell 
WR Miller, Bryce 
TE Brinkman, Mitchell 
QB Fortin, Cade 
RB Joiner, Kelley 

Statistical Leaders

Florida Gators
Passing: E. Jones (113)
Rushing: A. Richardson (160)
Receiving: A. Richardson (160)
Touchdowns: D. Pierce (2)
Sacks: Z. Carter (3)
Tackles: Z. Carter (3)
South Florida Bulls
Passing: T. Mcclain (126)
Rushing: J. Mangham (26)
Receiving: X. Weaver (73)
Touchdowns: N/A
Sacks: A. Grier (1)
Tackles: D. Evans (4)
Florida Gators: Dan Mullen (4th season)
South Florida Bulls: Jeff Scott (2nd season)

Weather Forecast

87 degrees F mostly cloudy. 68% humidity, 20% chance of rain, up to 5 mph wind speeds S.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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