Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/18/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 18, 2023

Venue:  Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Florida +11, Mizzou -11; Over/Under:  59 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Florida +11, Mizzou -11; Over/Under:  59 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Florida +11.5, Mizzou -11.5; Over/Under:  59.5 points

Florida Gators:  5-5 (3-4) (5th place, SEC East)

Missouri Tigers:  8-2 (4-2) (2nd place, SEC East)

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Florida Gators:  lost their last game on the road against the LSU Tigers 52-35.

Missouri Tigers:  won their last game at home against the Tennessee Volunteers 36-7.

Florida is entering this game with a 5-5 record overall and they have a 3-4 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against LSU 52-35. Graham Mertz was the starting QB and he completed 26/38 passes for 311 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Trevor Etienne led the team in rushing yards with 99 and 3 TDs. Ricky Pearsall led the receivers with 103 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Jaydon Hill led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jaydon Hill led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Missouri is entering this game with an 8-2 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Tennessee 36-7. Brady Cook was the starting QB and he completed 18/24 passes for 275 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Cody Schrader led the team in rushing yards with 205 and 1 TD. Cody Schrader led the receivers with 116 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Ennis Rakestraw Jr. led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Darius Robinson led the defense in sacks with 1. Darius Robinson came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Missouri listed as an 11 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Missouri has looked really good this season with their 8-2 record overall and their 4-2 conference record. They have also looked really good in their home games with a 5-1 home record and their 2 losses were against LSU and Georgia who are both really good teams. Florida is only 5-5 this season and they have struggled a lot more since hitting conference play with their 3-4 conference record. They have also been terrible in their road games with their 1-3 road record and they haven't looked nearly as good in their games lately as they looked at the beginning of the season. Florida had a really good defense in the 1st half of the season but that has now gone out the window and even though their offense has been better in their games, it still hasn't been enough to win games with their defense crumbling. Missouri has a really good offense that is going to put up a ton of points at home and Florida doesn't have the offense to compete. Missouri also has a better defense at home with the way they have been playing lately compared to Florida's defense so this will be another game where Missouri rolls over their opponent. The best way to place a bet here is on Missouri to cover the spread in this game. 

Florida Missouri Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 18, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Missouri 38 Florida 21.

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Florida Gators: 13-23 ATS in all games. 4-9 ATS in road games. 7-13 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers. 12-5 OVER as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 9-4 OVER in road games. 7-0 OVER off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival.

Missouri Tigers: 5-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 6-2 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers. 14-7 UNDER as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points. 16-9 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 11-5 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders.

Florida Gators:  A. Jean (WR) Ques Sat - Lower Body. J. Odom (TE) Out indefinitely - Concussion. C. Douglas (WR) Late Nov - Leg. K. Wilson (S) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. S. James (LB) out for season - Knee. C. Jones (OL) out for season - Redshirt. K. Zipperer (TE) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Miller III (QB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Chiaokhiao-Bowman (WR) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Carroll (RB) out for season - Knee. J. Boone (DL) out for season - Knee.

Missouri Tigers:  D. Houston (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Bailey (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. McNeil (DB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. M. Cox (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. I. Thompson (DB) out for season - Lower Body.

“You don’t just flip a coin and decide to be the head coach at the Florida Gators. For me, you go into it with a strategy and a plan. You adapt. You evolve. You adjust. We’re in the middle of that process.” - Billy Napier on his team’s season and his plan going forward.

“One of the things that gets lost in his story is he’s a talented player. He has this stubborn refusal to quit.” - Eli Drinkwitz on Cody Schrader after his team’s win against Tennessee in their last game. 

WR Jackson, Kahleil  

WR Wilson III, Eugene  

WR Pearsall, Ricky 

TE Hansen, Hayden 

TE Boardingham, Arlis  

QB Mertz, Graham 

RB Johnson Jr., Montrell

WR Wease Jr., Theo 

WR Cooper, Mookie 

WR Burden III, Luther 

TE Stephens, Tyler 

QB Cook, Brady 

RB Schrader, Cody

Passing: G. Mertz (2695)

Rushing: T. Etienne (628)

Receiving: R. Pearsall (881)

Touchdowns: T. Etienne (7)

Passing: B. Cook (2731)

Rushing: C. Schrader (1124)

Receiving: L. Burden III (977)

Touchdowns: C. Schrader (11)

Coaches:

Florida Gators: Billy Napier (2nd season)

Missouri Tigers: Eli Drinkwitz (4th season)