by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 30, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 2, 2024
Venue: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Florida +16.5, Georgia -16.5; Over/Under: 52 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Florida +16, Georgia -16; Over/Under: 52 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Florida +16.5, Georgia -16.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Season Record
Florida Gators: 4-3 (2-2) (11th place, SEC)
Georgia Bulldogs: 6-1 (4-1) (2nd place, SEC)
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Recent Form
Florida Gators: won their last game at home against the Kentucky Wildcats 48-20.
Georgia Bulldogs: won their last game on the road against the Texas Longhorns 30-15.
Florida Gators vs Georgia Bulldogs Preview and Analysis
Florida is entering this game with a 4-3 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their conference games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Kentucky 48-20. DJ Lagway was the starting QB and he completed 7/14 passes for 259 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jadan Baugh led the team in rushing yards with 106 and 5 TDs. Elijhah Badger led the receivers with 148 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Trikweze Bridges led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while T.J. Searcy led the defense in sacks with 1. Trikweze Bridges, Devin Moore, and Cormani McClain each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Georgia is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Texas 30-15. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 23/41 passes for 175 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Trevor Etienne led the team in rushing yards with 87 and 3 TDs. Oscar Delp led the receivers with 45 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Jalon Walker led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Jalon Walker led the defense in sacks with 3. Daylen Everette came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Florida vs Georgia Prediction
The current betting odds have Georgia listed as a 16.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Georgia has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 4-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. Their 1 loss was against Alabama, but they have looked a lot better since that loss. They are coming off a huge road win over Texas in their last one and they are also coming out of their bye week so they have had extra time to prepare. Meanwhile, Florida hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 4-3 record overall and their 2-2 conference record which pretty much has them out of the SEC race. They have been a really up and down team this season, looking good in some games where they have been putting up a ton of points, but looking terrible in other games where they have struggled to score. Their defense hasn't looked great in their games either and Georgia is going to put up points in this game. Georgia had 2 games this season where they did give up some points, but they haven't been giving up that many in a majority of their games. Their defense is a lot better and Florida will struggle to get anything done on offense. Georgia can't afford to lose another game this season with their loss to Alabama so they aren't going to hold back or take their foot off the gas in this one either. The best way to place a bet here is on Georgia to cover the spread in this game.
Florida Georgia Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 2, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Georgia 38 Florida 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Florida Gators: 7-3 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 rushing yards/game or less. 10-5 1H ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 7-3 1H ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. 12-6 OVER as an underdog. 11-2 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 10-5 OVER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.
Georgia Bulldogs: 5-9 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 3-6 ATS off a road win. 3-7 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 6-3 OVER as a neutral field favorite. 5-0 OVER after a bye week. 8-4 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game.
Key Injuries
Florida Gators: R. Moten (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Underwood (LS) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Kearney (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Johnson (RB) Questionable - Lower Body. M. Burke (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Livingston (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Manuel (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Abrams (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Daniels (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Turner (DB) Questionable - Shoulder. J. Jackson (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Mertz (QB) Out - Knee. K. Jackson (WR) Out - Knee. J. Lyons (DL) Out - Ankle.
Georgia Bulldogs: B. Robinson (RB) Questionable - Leg. S. Mondon (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Ratledge (OL) Questionable - Knee/Ankle. R. Robinson (RB) Questionable - Foot. J. Jonah-Ajonye (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Young (WR) Out - Suspension.
Notable Quotes
“He gets better every day. He learns something every day.” - Billy Napier on DJ Lagway after his team’s win against Kentucky in their last game.
“These players bring the best out of me. They tried to rob us with calls in this place. And these guys are so resilient.” - Kirby Smart after his team’s win against Texas in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Florida Gators
WR Wilson III, Eugene
WR Badger, Elijhah
WR Dike, Chimere
TE Hansen, Hayden
TE Boardingham, Arlis
QB Lagway, DJ
RB Johnson Jr., Montrell
Georgia Bulldogs
WR Bell, Dillon
WR Smith, Arian
WR Lovett, Dominic
TE Delp, Oscar
QB Beck, Carson
RB Etienne, Trevor
Statistical Leaders
Florida Gators
Passing: D. Lagway (1024)
Rushing: M. Johnson (373)
Receiving: E. Badger (524)
Touchdowns: J. Baugh (5)
Georgia Bulldogs
Passing: C. Beck (1993)
Rushing: T. Etienne (422)
Receiving: A. Smith (444)
Touchdowns: T. Etienne (7)
Coaches:
Florida Gators: Billy Napier (3rd season)
Georgia Bulldogs: Kirby Smart (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
