Florida Gators vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/17/2024

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, March 17, 2024

Venue:  Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Florida +5.5, Auburn -5.5; Over/Under:  156 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Florida +5.5, Auburn -5.5; Over/Under:  156 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Florida +5.5, Auburn -5.5; Over/Under:  155.5 points

Florida Gators:  23-10 (11-7) (6th place, SEC)

Auburn Tigers:  25-7 (13-5) (3rd place, SEC)

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Florida Gators:  4-1  last 5

Auburn Tigers:  5-0  last 5

Florida is entering this game with a 24-10 record overall, an 11-7 record in conference games, and they are 7-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Texas A&M Aggies in their last game. Denzel Aberdeen led the team in points per game in that game with 20 while Will Richard was next on the team with 19. Tyrese Samuel and Zyon Pullin each led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Alex Condon led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 49.1% from the field, 53.8% from 3-point range, and 77.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 78 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 16-17-1 this season and their O/U record is 22-11-1.

Auburn is entering this game with a 26-7 record overall, a 13-5 conference record, and they are 6-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Mississippi State Bulldogs in their last game. Chad Baker-Mazara led the team in points in that game with 14 while Jaylin Williams and Denver Jones each were next on the team with 13. Aden Holloway led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Jaylin Williams, Denver Jones, and Chad Baker-Mazara each led the team in rebounds with 4. They were 50% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 77.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.1 PPG against them. Auburn has an ATS record of 20-13 this season and their O/U record is 14-19.

The current betting odds have Florida listed as a 5.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida has looked good in their games this season with their 24-10 record overall and their 11-7 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have also looked great in their neutral site games this season with their 7-2 record in those. Meanwhile, Auburn has also looked really good in their games this season with their 26-7 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked great in the SEC this year with their 13-5 conference record and they have also looked good in their neutral site games with their 6-1 record in those. Both of these teams are hot right now and have taken down some very good teams to get to this finals in the SEC Tournament. Auburn looked really good to start this tournament but they struggled a lot more in their last game as they had trouble shaking Mississippi State all game. This game is going to be no different since Florida has been a really scrappy team in this tournament and since both teams aren't playing with any rest either, this is going to be a really close game in the end no matter who wins it. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida to cover the spread in this game.

Florida Auburn Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, March 17, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Auburn 76 Florida 72.

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Florida Gators: 19-28 ATS after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games. 3-7 ATS after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers. 23-11 OVER in all games. 8-1 OVER in all neutral court games. 9-2 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs.

Auburn Tigers: 20-11 ATS as a favorite. 11-6 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick. 13-7 ATS against conference opponents. 5-1 OVER revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 22-14 OVER in conference tournament games. 

Florida Gators:  A. Szymczyk (F) Late March - Foot.

Auburn Tigers:  L. Berman (G) out for season - Knee.

“His teammates needed him the most, and he delivered for us. And we don’t win this game without him, so great job Denzel.” - Todd Golden after his team’s win against Texas A&M in their last game on Saturday.

“It was a rock fight because both teams were playing really, really physical. That’s Mississippi State’s MO. Our MO is playing hard all the time, not always quite as physical. They beat us on the boards, but we hung in there. We hung in there. I thought that was really important.” - Bruce Pearl after his team’s win against MS State in their last game on Saturday.

W. Clayton 

M. Handlogten 

Z. Pullin 

W. Richard 

T. Samuel

J. Broome 

A. Holloway 

D. Jones 

C. Moore 

J. Williams

PPG: W. Clayton Jr (17)

APG: Z. Pullin (5)

Reb/G: T. Samuel (7.5)

PPG: C. Williams (20)

APG: T. Donaldson (3.2)

Reb/G: J. Broome (8.5)

Coaches:

Florida Gators: Todd Golden (2nd season)

Auburn Tigers: Bruce Pearl (10th season)