Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/06/2025

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, May 04, 2025
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Tuesday, May 6, 2025
Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Oilers +110, Knights -130; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Oilers +110, Knights -130; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Oilers +105, Knights -125; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Edmonton Oilers:  48-29-5 (3rd place, Pacific Division)
Vegas Golden Knights:  50-22-10 (1st place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Edmonton Oilers:  7-3-0 last 10
Vegas Golden Knights:  7-2-1 last 10



Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights Preview and Analysis


The Oilers are entering the playoffs with 101 points, a 48-29-5 record overall, and they were 23-16-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Kings in their last game, winning that one at home 6-4. Connor Brown, Trent Frederic, Zach Hyman, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Darnell Nurse, and Adam Henrique each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Connor Brown led the team in assists with 2 while Connor McDavid led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Calvin Pickard was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 27 shots with 23 saves and a .852 save percentage. Their offense has scored 259 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 236 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


The Golden Knights are entering the playoffs with 110 points, a 50-22-10 record overall, and they were 29-9-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Minnesota Wild in their last game, winning that one on the road 3-2. Jack Eichel, Mark Stone, and Shea Theodore each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Brayden McNabb led the team in assists with 2 while Mark Stone led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 31 shots with 29 saves and a .935 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 275 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 219 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.


Oilers vs Golden Knights Prediction

The current betting odds have the Oilers listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Golden Knights and the 3rd seeded Oilers from the Pacific Division for the 2nd round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. Both of these teams won their 1st round series in 6 games. The Oilers are coming off a 4-2 series win over the Kings while the Golden Knights are coming off a 4-2 series win over the Wild. Both of these teams are coming into this series with some momentum on their side too. The Golden Knights have won 3 games in a row now after going down 2-1 in their last series and the Oilers have won 4 games in a row after erasing a 2-0 series deficit. The Golden Knights didn't look as good as the Oilers did in their series though. The Golden Knights were the higher seed in their series and had the home advantage, yet they still struggled to beat the Wild early on in that series. They got themselves into trouble in a few of their games and even on this 3 game winning streak, 2 of their wins were in overtime and all 3 wins were by 1 goal. The Oilers looked a lot better in their series and they were the lower seed who didn't have home advantage like the Golden Knights, and the Oilers also had to play a much stronger opponent. They didn't look great to start the series but once they settled in they were the much better team to close it out. The Oilers were getting hot at the end of the regular season and have continued that into the playoffs. They are starting to look like that team that made a deep run to the Stanley Cup Final last season so they are going to come out with their best effort in this game to put the pressure on the Golden Knights and flip the home advantage right away. The best way to place a bet here is on the Oilers to win this game. 

Oilers Golden Knights Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, May 6, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Oilers 4 Knights 3.
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NHL Betting Trends


Edmonton Oilers: 172-117 (-14.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 87-73 (-9.7 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 103-80 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 28-15 OVER after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game. 

Vegas Golden Knights: 169-112 (+19.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 74-39 (+26.6 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 84-60 (+20.6 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-0 OVER in the 1st game of a playoff series. 

Key Injuries


Edmonton Oilers:  M. Ekholm (D) Out - Undisclosed. A. Regula (D) Out - Knee.

Vegas Golden Knights:  P. Dorofeyev (LW) Day To Day - Undisclosed.


Notable Quotes


“We got offense from all over the lineup today, it’s great. You need that, you need different guys stepping up. I thought (Brown) had his best game as an Oiler, maybe. He was fantastic. Pickard, obviously. You go down the list, we had guys step up. It wasn’t our best, but we found a way tonight and that’s what good teams do.” - Connor McDavid after their win against the LA Kings in game 6 of that series on Thursday.


“Today we got the lead which is good, and we haven’t had the lead a lot. It’s important to do that. Sometimes it can change the way a team like Minnesota will play. They were tough to play against with the lead because they protect the middle and don’t give up a lot." - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s win against the Wild in game 6 of that series on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Edmonton Oilers
LW Leon Draisaitl
C Connor McDavid
RW Corey Perry
LD Darnell Nurse
RD Evan Bouchard
G Calvin Pickard

Vegas Golden Knights
LW William Karlsson
C Jack Eichel
RW Mark Stone
LD Brayden McNabb
RD Shea Theodore
G Adin Hill

Statistical Leaders


Edmonton Oilers
Points: L. Draisaitl (106)
Goals: L. Draisaitl (52)
Assists: C. McDavid (74)
GAA: C. Pickard (2.71)

Vegas Golden Knights
Points: J. Eichel (94)
Goals: P. Dorofeyev (35)
Assists: J. Eichel (66)
GAA: A. Schmid (1.26)

Coaches:
Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (2nd season)
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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