Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/12/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 12, 2026

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN+, Hulu

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Oilers +114, Stars -135; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Oilers +115, Stars -135; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Oilers +115, Stars -140; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Edmonton Oilers:  32-25-8 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Stars:  40-14-10 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Edmonton Oilers:  4-6-0 last 10

Dallas Stars:  9-0-1 last 10

The Oilers are entering this game with 72 points, a 32-25-8 record overall, and they are 16-14-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins led the team in goals scored with 2 while Connor McDavid and Jack Roslovic each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Evan Bouchard and Leon Draisaitl each led the team in assists with 2 while Leon Draisaitl led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Connor Ingram was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 17 shots with 15 saves and a .882 save percentage before leaving injured and getting replaced by Tristan Jarry who allowed 1 goal on 12 shots faced. Their offense has scored 231 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 221 goals against them allowing 3.4 goals per game.

The Stars are entering this game with 90 points, a 40-14-10 record overall, and they are 20-7-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, winning that one at home 2-1. Jamie Benn and Oskar Bäck each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Colin Blackwell, Matt Duchene, Thomas Harley, and Wyatt Johnston each led the team in assists with 1 while Adam Erne, Mavrik Bourque, and Miro Heiskanen each led the team in shots on net in that game with 2. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 27 shots with 26 saves and a .963 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 222 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 174 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Stars have looked great in their games this season with their 40-14-10 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the West with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They have looked great on home ice too with their 20-7-4 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Oilers have looked good in their games this season with their 32-25-8 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the West. They haven't been a great road team though with their 16-14-4 road record this year. The Oilers are off a 4-3 win over the Avalanche in their last one and they have some momentum on their side again with 2 wins in a row now, but they still haven't looked that great lately and they have been really up and down this year too. They are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games and they are running into a red hot Stars team that has been crushing teams lately. The Stars have been rolling with 2 wins in a row now and they are 9-0-1 in their last 10 games, their only loss being against the Avalanche who lead the NHL. They are off a 2-1 win over the Golden Knights in their last one and they have shown on this streak that they can win games in different ways. The Stars are looking more like one of the best teams in the NHL now and they can definitely take advantage of an Oilers team off a big win, considering how the Oilers haven't looked that good lately and have had trouble in road games all season. Look for the Stars to continue rolling on their home ice in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Oilers Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, March 12, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Stars 5 Oilers 3.

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Edmonton Oilers: 158-118 (-22 units) on the moneyline in all games. 77-68 (-11 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 93-79 (-14.6 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 23-14 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150.

Dallas Stars: 161-103 (+13.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 138-76 (+15.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite. 82-36 (+16.7 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 25-18 OVER against excellent power play teams- scoring on over 17.5% of their chances.

Edmonton Oilers:  A. Henrique (C) Day To Day - Knee. M. Janmark (C) Out For Season - Undisclosed. C. Lazar (C) Out - Undisclosed.

Dallas Stars:  R. Hintz (C) Out - Lower Body. M. Rantanen (RW) Out - Lower-body. R. Faksa (C) Out - Upper-body. T. Seguin (C) Out For Season - ACL.

“It was concussion protocol. He's feeling well. Obviously, that can change, but he was not allowed to come back just because of [the] concussion spotter." - Kris Knoblauch after his team’s win against the Avalanche in their game on Tuesday.

“It’s important for their mindset [to hold the lead late] so it doesn’t grow into something bigger. I thought the guys did a good job of packing it in, a little more blocking when we could. You don’t want those things to get out of control and then you’re talking about it them forever. It’s good that you can lock down leads, especially 6-on-5, because it can become something. I thought we were good in that area today. I thought we competed hard.” - Glen Gulutzan after his team’s win against the Golden Knights in their game on Tuesday.

LW Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

C Connor McDavid

RW Zach Hyman

LD Mattias Ekholm

RD Evan Bouchard

G Connor Ingram

LW Jason Robertson

C Wyatt Johnston

RW Mavrik Bourque

LD Esa Lindell

RD Miro Heiskanen

G Jake Oettinger

Points: Connor McDavid (110)

Goals: Connor McDavid (36)

Assists: Connor McDavid (74)

GAA: Connor Ingram (2.79)

Points: Jason Robertson (74)

Goals: Jason Robertson (34)

Assists: Mikko Rantanen (49)

GAA: Casey DeSmith (2.28)

Coaches:

Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (3rd season)

Dallas Stars: Glen Gulutzan (1st season)