Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Central Michigan Chippewas Prediction Spread and Trends to Watch - 11/26/2021

by James Q

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Central Michigan Chippewas Prediction Spread and Trends to Watch - 11/26/2021

 
Game Time: 3:30 PM ET, Friday, November 26th, 2021
Venue: Kelly Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, Michigan
Where to Watch:  ESPN
 
 

Opening NCAAB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings Sportsbook:  Spread: Central Mich -8.5; Over/Under: 64
Circa:  Spread: Central Mich -9; Over/Under: 64
VegasInsider:  Spread: Central Mich -8.5; Over/Under: 64
 
 

Season Record

Eastern Michigan:  4-3 conf, 7-4 overall (Mac)
Central Michigan:  5-2 conf, 7-4 overall (Mac)

This is a matchup of in-state rivals, in-conference rivals, and directional school rivals.  It’s also the last game on the regular season schedule.  Eastern Michigan games have produced an overall 7-4 record just as Central Michigan has… but 1 less win in the Mid-American Conference.  As a result the latest spread has EMU listed as 8-9 point underdogs.  That's a great betting starting point if the key metrics are as close as the record.

 
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EMU vs CMU Preview and Analysis


RECENT FORM

EMU is 7-4 on the season, but 5-6 ATS.  They have logged 5 Overs and 6 Unders.  Their road record is 3-2.  In their last game they squeaked out a win against last place (in Mac) Western Michigan,  22-21.  They lost the week before to Ohio in Toledo 34-26.  

CMU is 7-4 on the season, but 6-5 ATS.  They have logged 5 Overs and 6 Unders.  They are a sparkling 4-1 in home games.

OFFENSIVE ANALYSIS

EMU is ranked 34th in the FBS in ppg with 32.9 and 72nd in ypg with 395.  The offense is tilted toward the passing game as they rank 32nd in passing yards with 267.5 yards and 100th in rushing yards with 127.5 per game…. The Eagles are 25th in turnovers with only 4. 

CMU is ranked 30th in the FBS in points scored with 33.2 per game.  They are 17th in yards gained with 459.7 ypg. They are well balance ranked 21st in passing yards with 282.8 per game and 54th in rushing yards with 176.9.  The Chippewas are on a 3-game winning streak having recently beaten Ball State, Kent State, and WMU.

DEFENSIVE ANALYSIS

On defense EMU gives up 242.8 passing yards per game (90th) and 193.4 rushing yards per game (109th)... They give up a total of 436.2 yards per game landing them at 104th in the FBS.  They allow 27.5 ppg.

CMU gives up 409.7 ypg for a ranking of 85th.  They are 112th in passing defense and 54th in rushing defense.

EMU Eagles vs CMU Chippewas Mustangs Prediction

Our prediction for Friday, November 26th, is…  EMU 28 - CMU 25

Yes, bet the upset.  These are closely rated teams and you will be spotted 9 points if you take the best available odds from your sportsbook.  The current line may change as we get closer so take the points now.  EMU QB Ben Bryant has passed for 2700 yards and will be throwing against a soft CMU pass coverage… yes the reverse is true as well, but Eastern Michigan averages are closer to Central Michigan averages than the spread would indicate.


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NCAAF Betting Trends

EMU is 4-2 ATS after playing a conference game this season.
EMU is 4-2 ATS when playing a team with a winning record the last 3 seasons.
CMU is 10-5 ATS as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CMU is 10-4 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons.


Starting Lineups

Eastern Michigan Players:  QB Ben Bryant, RB Darius Boone JR, TE Thomas Odukoya, WR Tanner Knue, WR Dylan Drummond, WR Hassan Beydoun, LT Marcellus Johnson, LG Sidy Sow, OC Mike Van Hoeven, RG Richard Bates JR, RT Brian Dooley

Central Michigan Players:  QB Daniel Richardson, RB Lew Nichols III, TE Joel Wilson, WR Kalil Pimpleton, WR JaCorey Sullivan, WR Dallas Dixon, LT Bernhard Raimann JR, LG Tyden Ferris, OC Jamezz Kimbrough, RG Deiyantei Powell-Woods, RT Luke Goedeke, 

Statistical Leaders

EMU
Touchdowns: Samson Evans 11
Rushing Yards: Jawon Hamilton 614
Passing Yards: Ben Bryant 2700
Sacks: Jose Ramirez 6
Interceptions: Russell Vaden IV 2

CMU
Touchdowns: Lew Nichols 14
Rushing Yards: Lew Nichols 1514
Passing Yards: Daniel Richardson 2,262
Sacks: Troy Hairston 5.5
Interceptions: Devonni Reed 2 

 

Coaches

EMU: Chris Creighton.  Coach Creighton has been at Eastern Michigan since 2014.  He has amassed a 37-55 record overall and 22-39 in conference.

CMU: Jim McElwain.  Coach McElwain took the Central Michigan job in 2019 after taking a year off in between being fired by Florida in 2017.  His overall college coaching record (includes 3 years at Colorado State) is 62-40.  His CMU record is 14-7.





James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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