East Carolina Pirates vs Boston College Eagles Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/27/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Dec 09, 2021
Game Time: 2:30 pm ET, Monday, December 27, 2021
Venue:  Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ECU +3.5, BC -3.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  ECU +3, BC -3; Over/Under:  51 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ECU +3.5, BC -3.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points
 

Season Record

East Carolina Pirates:  7-5 (4th place, AAC)
Boston College Eagles:  6-6 (7th place, ACC Atlantic)
 
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East Carolina Pirates vs Boston College Eagles Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
East Carolina Pirates:  lost at home on Nov. 26 against the Cincinnati Bearcats 35-13.
Boston College Eagles:  lost at home on Nov. 27 against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons 41-10.
 
 
 

East Carolina Pirates Analysis

ECU is coming into this game after finishing their regular season with a 7-5 record overall and they are 0-1 in their neutral site games on their schedule this season. They have won 4 of their last 5 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 4 game winning streak that they were on. Their 4 wins in that span came against the South Florida Bulls, the Temple Owls, the Memphis Tigers, and the Navy Midshipmen while their loss was against the Cincinnati Bearcats in their last game. Holton Ahlers completed 19/38 passes for 228 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception in that one. Keaton Mitchell led the team in rushing with 55 yards on 17 carries. Tyler Snead led the receivers with 91 yards on 6 receptions while Ryan Jones had 74 yards on 6 receptions. Jsi Hatfield caught the lone touchdown pass in that one. Malik Fleming led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Jeremy Lewis and Rick D'Abreu both led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while Warren Saba came up with 2 interceptions for them in that one. They have scored 356 points in their 12 games this season averaging 29.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 315 points against them allowing 26.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 432.7 YPG while their defense is allowing 393.9 YPG.
 
 

Boston College Eagles Analysis

Boston College is coming into this game after finishing their season with a 6-6 record overall and they will be playing their first neutral site game this season in this game. Their last win was against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets but they have gone on a 2 game losing streak since then with losses coming against the Florida State Seminoles and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons in their last game. Phil Jurkovec did not have a good game in that one as he completed 3/11 passes for 19 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. He also led the team in rushing with 66 yards on 11 carries while Pat Garwo III was right behind him with 65 yards on 11 carries. Trae Barry led the receivers with 15 yards and 1 touchdown on 1 reception in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Elijah Jones led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles. Marcus Valdez, Donovan Ezeiruaku, and TJ Rayam all recorded the only sacks in that game with 1 each while Brandon Sebastian came up with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 296 points in their 12 games this season averaging 24.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 266 points against them allowing 22.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 349.7 YPG while their defense is allowing 344.3 YPG.
 

 

East Carolina vs Boston College Prediction

ECU is coming into this Military Bowl as a 3.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. ECU has been having a good season for them and they have been playing very well in their recent games as they finished the season winning 4 of their last 5 games, that 1 loss coming against Cincinnati who ended up in the college football playoffs because they are that good. BC has not been playing well in their second half of the season and lost 2 straight games to finish their season. They had a great start going undefeated through their first few games but then they dropped off after hitting conference play and only won 2 of their 8 games. ECU has been a much better team this season and they have been playing better in their recent games. Making it back to one of these games was also their goal for the season so they will be motivated to play well here. The best bet to place in this game is on ECU to cover the spread and on them to win this game straight up on the moneyline. 
 
East Carolina Boston College Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Monday, December 27, 2021 (2:30 pm ET start time) is ECU 34 BC 21.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this East Carolina Pirates Boston College Eagles prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
East Carolina Pirates: 3-7 O/U in all games. 2-8 O/U when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 2-5 O/U as an underdog. 1-5 O/U after playing a conference game. 2-6 O/U in non-conference games. 
Boston College Eagles: 3-9 O/U in all games. 1-5 O/U when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 1-6 O/U after playing a conference game. 1-5 O/U after playing 2 straight conference games. 2-7 O/U in games played on turf. 12-27 O/U after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games. 7-18 O/U off 2 straight losses against conference rivals. 4-12 O/U after a loss by 28 or more points. 18-34 O/U after a 2 game home stand. 48-79 O/U after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 16-31 O/U after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses.
 

Key Injuries

 
East Carolina Pirates:  J. Powell (OL) Ques Dec 27 - Undisclosed injury. B. Malovic (OL) out for season - Lower Body injury.
Boston College Eagles:  D. Jones (DB) Ques Dec 27 - Undisclosed injury. T. Barry (TE) Ques Dec 27 - Ankle injury. J. DeBerry (DB) Ques Dec 27 - Undisclosed injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“This is the goal. The kids made this a goal when I took the job, to get the Pirates back into bowl games and playing in situations like this. We’re really excited about the opportunity. Got a chance to see Boston College on a crossover film with Temple, and saw them on a Friday against Virginia Tech before one of our games. They’re a big, strong, physical, hard-nosed football team.” - Mike Houston on his team playing in a bowl game this season.
 
 
“I’ve done a little research on them today. Their quarterback has thrown for a ton of yards. I’m a defensive guy and the first thing I look at is what type of quarterback are we going to play. It looks like he likes to throw the ball, it looks like he’s a lefty, so in the little time I’ve had, it seems like they have a guy who can chuck it all over the yard.” - Jeff Hafley on his preparation for their opponent in this bowl game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
East Carolina Pirates
WR Omotosho, Audie 
WR Johnson, C.J
WR Tyler Snead
TE Calhoun, Shane 
QB Ahlers, Holton 
RB Mitchell, Keaton 
 
Boston College Eagles
WR Williams, Jaden
WR Zay Flowers 
WR Gill, Jaelen 
TE Luchetti, Joey 
QB Jurkovec, Phil 
RB Garwo III, Pat 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
East Carolina Pirates
Passing: H. Ahlers (3129)
Rushing: K. Mitchell (1132)
Receiving: T. Snead (860)
Touchdowns: K. Mitchell (10)
 
Boston College Eagles
Passing: D. Grosel (1191)
Rushing: P. Garwo III (1046)
Receiving: Z. Flowers (746)
Touchdowns: P. Garwo III (7)
 
Coaches:
East Carolina Pirates: Mike Houston (3rd season)
Boston College Eagles: Jeff Hafley (2nd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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