Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 30, 2021
Venue: Truist Field, Winston-Salem, NC
Where to Watch: ACC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Duke +16.5, WF -16.5; Over/Under: 70 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Duke +17, WF -17; Over/Under: 70 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Duke +16.5, WF -16.5; Over/Under: 70 points
Duke Blue Devils: 3-4 (7th place, ACC Coastal)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: 7-0 (1st place, ACC Atlantic)
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Duke Blue Devils vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons Preview and Analysis
Duke Blue Devils: lost on the road on Oct. 16 against the Virginia Cavaliers 48-0.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: won on the road on Oct. 23 against the Army Black Knights 70-56.
Duke Blue Devils Analysis
Duke is coming into this game with a 3-4 record overall and they are 0-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 4th conference matchup of the year and they are in a hole right now with a 0-3 record in their conference games this season. Their 3 losses came against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, the North Carolina Tar Heels, and against Virginia in their last game. They were absolutely dominated from start to finish in that game getting blanked for all four quarters losing the game 48-0. Gunnar Holmberg did not have a good game at all as he completed 20/34 passes for 134 yards and 2 interceptions. Riley Leonard had a better game at the quarterback position completing 8/12 passes for 81 yards. Mataeo Durant led the team in rushing with 82 yards on 7 carries but he was basically their entire run game. Jalon Calhoun led the receivers with 53 yards on 5 receptions in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Nate Thompson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. DeWayne Carter, RJ Obe, and Gary Smith III all had 1 sack each in that game while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception. They have scored 189 points in their 7 games this season averaging 27 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 221 points against them allowing 31.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 474.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 444.7 YPG.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons Analysis
Wake Forest is coming into this game with a 7-0 record overall and they are 4-0 in their home games where they will be in this game. This will be the 5th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are leading the way right now with a 4-0 record in their conference games this season. Their 4 wins came against the Florida State Seminoles, the Virginia Cavaliers, the Louisville Cardinals, and the Syracuse Orange. They played Army in their last game and won 70-56 in a massive shootout that they had a slight lead in the entire game. Sam Hartman played a great game as he completed 23/29 passes for 458 yards and 5 touchdowns. Christian Beal-Smith led the team in rushing with 71 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 carries while Justice Ellison had 5 carries for 66 yards and 1 touchdown. Hartman and Christian Turner each had a rushing TD as well in that one. Jaquarii Roberson had a very nice day as he led the receivers with 157 yards and 3 touchdowns on 8 receptions while A.T. Perry was right behind him with 146 yards and 1 touchdown on 6 receptions. Ke'Shawn Williams also had a good game with 93 receiving yards and 1 TD on 2 receptions. Luke Masterson led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones while Caelen Carson was right behind with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Rondell Bothroyd had the only sack in that game for the defense while Traveon Redd came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 302 points in their 7 games this season averaging 43.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 184 points against them allowing 26.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 469.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 437.4 YPG.
Duke vs Wake Forest Prediction
Wake Forest is coming into this game as a 16.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Wake Forest is clearly the team to beat right now in the ACC. They are coming off of a game where they allowed 56 points and still won, scoring 70 themselves in that game. Their defense is not the best but this is a Duke team that just scored 0 points on UVA so their offense is not that great. Wake Forest is going to overpower them with their offense in this game and run away with it early. The best bet to place in this game is on Wake Forest to cover the spread here as it is going to be a blowout here.
Duke Wake Forest Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 30, 2021 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Wake Forest 49 Duke 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Duke Blue Devils: 172-161 ATS in all games. 131-116 ATS as an underdog. 73-61 ATS as a road underdog. 84-74 ATS in road games.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: 5-14 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 167-168 ATS in all games. 46-63 ATS as a favorite. 31-41 ATS as a home favorite. 80-86 ATS in home games.
Duke Blue Devils: M. Smith (TE) out for season - Knee injury.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: C. Elmonus (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. E. Slocum (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Nash (OL) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
"The approach is finding a way to get better, and the approach is again owning it, which starts with me. Every one of us are tough-minded enough and have enough character to take this on. That's where it all lies." - David Cutcliffe after their loss to UVA in their last game.
"Guys made plays and you make the throws and it works like that. That's how this offense is supposed to do." - Sam Hartman on their win in their last game against Army.
Duke Blue Devils
WR Bobo, Jake
WR Pancol, Eli
WR Calhoun, Jalon
TE Marwede, Jake
QB Holmberg, Gunnar
RB Durant, Mataeo
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
WR Roberson, Jaquarii
WR Perry, A.T.
WR Morin, Taylor
TE Chapman, Brandon
QB Hartman, Sam
RB Beal-Smith, Christian
Duke Blue Devils
Passing: G. Holmberg (1750)
Rushing: M. Durant (870)
Receiving: J. Bobo (559)
Touchdowns: M. Durant (9)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Passing: S. Hartman (2073)
Rushing: C. Beal-Smith (446)
Receiving: J. Roberson (672)
Touchdowns: A. Perry (8)
Duke Blue Devils: David Cutcliffe (14th season)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: Dave Clawson (8th season)