Duke Blue Devils vs Pittsburgh Panthers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/01/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, Feb 28, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 1, 2022
Venue:  Petersen Events Center, Pittsburgh, PA 
Where to Watch:  ACC Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Duke -14.5, Pittsburgh +14.5; Over/Under:  137 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Duke -14.5, Pittsburgh +14.5; Over/Under:  137.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Duke -14.5, Pittsburgh +14.5; Over/Under:  137.5 points
 

Season Record

Duke Blue Devils:  25-4 (1st place, ACC)
Pittsburgh Panthers:  11-18 (13th place, ACC)
 
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Duke Blue Devils vs Pittsburgh Panthers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Duke Blue Devils:  5-0 last 5
Pittsburgh Panthers:  3-2 last 5
 
 
 

Duke Blue Devils Analysis

Duke is coming into this game with a 25-4 record overall and they are 8-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 19th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 15-3 in their conference games this season. They have won 11 of their last 12 games and are coming into this one on a 6 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Virginia Cavaliers while their 6 wins since then have come against the Clemson Tigers, the Boston College Eagles, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, the Florida State Seminoles, Virginia, and the Syracuse Orange in their last game. Mark Williams led the team in points in that game with 28 while Paolo Banchero was next on the team with 21 points. AJ Griffin also scored 20 points in that one as well. Wendell Moore led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Williams led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 53.8% from the field, 46.9% from 3-point range, and 70.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 80.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.4 PPG against them. Duke has an ATS record of 16-11-2 this season and their O/U record is 14-14-1.
 
 

Pittsburgh Panthers Analysis

Pittsburgh is coming into this game with an 11-18 record overall and they are 8-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 19th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 6-12 in their conference games this season. Their last win was against the North Carolina Tar Heels but they have gone on a 2 game losing streak since then with losses coming against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and the Miami Hurricanes in their last game. John Hugley led the team in points in that game with 20 while Jamarius Burton was next on the team with 12 points. Femi Odukale led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Hugley led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 48.1% from the field, 29.4% from 3-point range, and 52.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 62.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.2 PPG against them. Pittsburgh has an ATS record of 15-14 this season and their O/U record is 13-16.
 

 

Duke vs Pittsburgh Prediction

Duke is coming into this game playing very well in their recent games as they have won 5 straight and most of those wins have been by double digits. They are coming off of a win on the road by double digits as well and they have been a solid 8-2 on the road this season. They currently lead the ACC with a 15-3 record against conference opponents and they are going up against a Pittsburgh side that has a losing record this season both at home and against conference opponents. Pittsburgh had been playing well recently but their luck has run out as they have lost 2 straight games, both coming at home. They are coming off of a loss at home by double digits and they have lost a lot of their steam in these last 2 games. Duke is much better and they are rolling right now, they will keep on rolling here and win this game by double digits.
 
Duke Pittsburgh Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, March 1, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Duke 97 Pittsburgh 77.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Duke Blue Devils: 12-25 ATS after scoring 80 points or more. 52-31 OVER in all games. 76-44 OVER when the total is 130 to 139.5.
Pittsburgh Panthers: 12-7 ATS as a home underdog or pick. 14-2 ATS off 2 consecutive home losses. 5-1 OVER after allowing 80 points or more.
 

Key Injuries

 
Duke Blue Devils:  None.
Pittsburgh Panthers:  M. Gueye (F) Ques Tues - Arm injury. N. Sibande (G) out for season - Knee injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I thought our offense was like amazing in the first 17 minutes. We played very well in the second half. They scored the last 11 points of the first half and anything can happen then." - Coach K on his team's win against Syracuse.
 
 
“I’m not making an excuse — I know we’re a tired, banged-up basketball team. We have had a lot of games. We really haven’t had many off days since we played Syracuse here. I think we’ve had two off days since then. That’s been a long time. We’ve had these games. We’ve had make-up games. We had a game pushed because of weather. It’s been a lot. This will be welcome for us. This will be very, very welcome.” - Jeff Capel after his team’s loss against Miami.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Duke Blue Devils
P. Banchero 
T. Keels 
W. Moore 
J. Roach 
M. Williams
 
Pittsburgh Panthers
J. Burton 
O. Ezeakudo 
M. Gueye
J. Hugley
F. Odukale 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Duke Blue Devils
PPG: P. Banchero (16.7)
APG: W. Moore Jr. (4.6)
RPG: P. Banchero (8.1)
 
Pittsburgh Panthers
PPG: J. Hugley (14.7)
APG: F. Odukale (3.5)
Reb/G: J. Hugley (8.1)
 
Coaches:
Duke Blue Devils: Mike Krzyzewski (42nd season)
Pittsburgh Panthers: Jeff Capel III (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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