Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina State Wolfpack Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/04/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Monday, March 4, 2024

Venue:  PNC Arena, Raleigh, NC

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Duke -6, NCSU +6; Over/Under:  148 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Duke -6, NCSU +6; Over/Under:  148 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Duke -5.5, NCSU +5.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Duke Blue Devils:  23-6 (14-4) (2nd place, ACC)

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  17-12 (9-9) (8th place, ACC)

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Duke Blue Devils:  4-1  last 5

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  2-3  last 5

Duke is entering this game with a 23-6 record overall, a 14-4 record in conference games, and they are 6-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Virginia Cavaliers in their last game. Kyle Filipowski led the team in points per game in that game with 21 while Tyrese Proctor was next on the team with 15. Jeremy Roach and Tyrese Proctor each led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Sean Stewart led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 49.2% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 70% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 80.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.8 PPG against them. Duke has an ATS record of 17-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 12-17.

NC State is entering this game with a 17-12 record overall, a 9-9 conference record, and they are 12-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the North Carolina Tar Heels in their last game. Jayden Taylor led the team in points in that game with 22 while DJ Horne was next on the team with 20. Casey Morsell led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Mohamed Diarra led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 41.7% from the field, 47.4% from 3-point range, and 68.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72.3 PPG against them. NC State has an ATS record of 13-15-1 this season and their O/U record is 17-11-1.

The current betting odds have Duke listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Duke has looked really good in their games this season with their 23-6 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have been a good road team with their 6-4 road record and they have also looked great in the ACC with their 14-4 conference record which has them right near the top. Meanwhile, NC State has looked okay in their games this season with their 17-12 record overall and their 9-9 conference record which has them in the middle of the ACC. They have looked a lot better on their home court this year with their 12-4 home record, but they haven't been playing well lately. They are only 2-3 in their last 5 games while Duke is 4-1 and they have been getting really hot as the postseason is around the corner now. Duke just rolled Virginia in their last game and even though they are on the road here, NC State hasn't looked good in their games lately and doesn't have the talent to stop Duke here as they start to get hot now. The best way to place a bet here is on Duke to cover the spread in this game. 

Duke North Carolina State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Monday, March 4, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Duke 84 NC State 74.

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Duke Blue Devils: 17-9 ATS as a favorite. 10-5 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite. 8-3 ATS after 5 straight games forcing opponents to commit 14 or less turnovers. 10-3 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 13-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 12-6 UNDER against conference opponents.

North Carolina State Wolfpack: 17-30 ATS in all home games. 11-24 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 23-37 ATS against conference opponents. 8-4 UNDER when playing only their 3rd game in a week. 3-1 UNDER off a road loss against a conference rival.

Duke Blue Devils:  C. Foster (G) Ques Mon - Foot. C. Reeves (C) out for season - Ankle. J. Schutt (G) out for season - Redshirt.

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  None.

“They do a good job of making you play through resistance. When you have opportunities after movement or in transition or from closeouts ... you’ve got to drive downhill.” - Jon Scheyer after his team’s win against UVA in their last game on Saturday.

“That’s a long stretch where we just didn’t have anything. Some of it is on us. Obviously, our shots were not falling.” - Kevin Keatts after his team’s loss against UNC in their last game on Saturday.

K. Filipowski 

J. McCain 

M. Mitchell 

T. Proctor 

J. Roach

D. Burns 

D. Horne 

C. Morsell 

D. Parker, Jr. 

J. Taylor

PPG: K. Filipowski (16.8)

APG: T. Proctor (3.8)

Reb/G: K. Filipowski (8.2)

PPG: D. Horne (17.6)

APG: M. O'Connell (3)

Reb/G: M. Diarra (6.5)

Coaches:

Duke Blue Devils: Jon Scheyer (2nd season)

North Carolina State Wolfpack: Kevin Keatts (7th season)