Duke Blue Devils vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/14/2026

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 14, 2026

Venue:  Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Duke +13.5, Miami-FL -13.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Duke +13.5, Miami-FL -13.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Duke +13, Miami-FL -13; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Duke Blue Devils:  7-2 (4-2) (5th place, ACC)

Miami Hurricanes:  8-1 (6-0) (1st place, ACC)

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Duke Blue Devils:  won their last game on the road against the North Carolina State Wolfpack 41-3.

Miami Hurricanes:  lost their last game on the road against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish 31-24.

Duke is entering this game with a 7-2 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against NC State 41-3. Walker Eget was the starting QB and he completed 22/31 passes for 208 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Nate Sheppard led the team in rushing yards with 217 and 3 TDs. Jaivon Solomon led the receivers with 71 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Nick Morris Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 tackles while Preston Watson and Kobe Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Miami-Florida is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they have a 6-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Notre Dame 31-24. Darian Mensah was the starting QB and he completed 24/43 passes for 276 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Mark Fletcher Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 57. Elija Lofton led the receivers with 113 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Mohamed Toure led the defense in that game with 12 tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Duke listed as a 13.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Duke has looked good in their games this season with their 7-2 record overall and their 4-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the ACC. They have been a good road team too with their 3-1 road record this year. Meanwhile, Miami has looked great in their games this season with their 8-1 record overall and their 6-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the ACC. They have looked great on their home field too with their 4-0 home record this season. Miami has been rolling all year and they were the 1st ranked team in the nation entering last week, but they finally took their 1st loss of the year. They are coming off a 31-24 road loss to Notre Dame and they fought back to make it a close game, but they have also been flirting with losses over the last few weeks now. They have one of the best offenses in the nation with the talent that they have, but their defense hasn't looked great and they have been giving up a ton of points lately. They have played in some really tight conference games lately too and Duke is going to bring their best effort here since they are still the defending ACC champions. Miami went to the National Championship last season, but Duke won the ACC and they have looked really good lately. They are coming off a 41-3 road win over NC State in their last one and they have been rolling lately with 2 blow out wins in a row. They have been putting up a ton of points in their last 2 games too, so they are going to put up points on this Miami defense. Miami's offense also took a big hit with one of their best players being out and they could be feeling a hangover from that emotional loss to Notre Dame. The best way to place a bet here is on Duke to cover the spread in this game. 

Duke Miami Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 14, 2026 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Miami 37 Duke 27.

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Duke Blue Devils: 15-28 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 16-24 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game. 9-4 OVER as an underdog. 5-1 OVER off a road win against a conference rival. 5-1 OVER after allowing 14 points or less last game.

Miami Hurricanes: 22-12 ATS against FBS division opponents. 8-2 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 10-3 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 22-12 OVER against FBS division opponents. 9-2 OVER as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points.

Duke Blue Devils:  A. Pellicciotta (S) Out - Undisclosed. C. Salas (K) Out - Undisclosed.

Miami Hurricanes:  O. Ruskavich (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Moore (WR) Out - Upper Body. C. Brown (RB) Out - Lower Body. L. Gilbert (TE) Out - Undisclosed.

“When you have a dominant win like we had a week ago ... normally there’s some sort of letdown and you start to believe things are easy, winning is easy. It’s never easy. I thought the team just improved from last week. I think that was the mindset all week: let’s find a way to get better. And that’s what they did." - Manny Diaz after his team’s win against NC State in their last game. 

“Obviously, a tough loss to take. Proud of our players for the resilience. Don't leave it in the hands of the officials. Play better. Coach better. Find a way to win.” - Mario Cristobal after his team’s loss against Notre Dame in their last game. 

WR Richardson, Jared

WR Moore, Jayden

WR Burton, Jonah

TE Hasley, Jeremiah

QB Eget, Walker

RB Sheppard, Nate

WR Upshaw, Daylyn

WR Barkate, Cooper

WR Toney, Malachi

TE Lofton, Elija

QB Mensah, Darian

RB Fletcher Jr., Mark

Passing: Walker Eget (1,849)

Rushing: Nate Sheppard (1,189)

Receiving: Jonah Burton (360)

Touchdowns: Nate Sheppard (21)

Passing: Darian Mensah (2,694)

Rushing: Mark Fletcher Jr. (514)

Receiving: Malachi Toney (1,027)

Touchdowns: Malachi Toney (13)

Coaches:

Duke Blue Devils: Manny Diaz (3rd season)

Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (5th season)